Horse Racing

Newmarket July meeting

Newmarket July meeting

Felt I should comment on the meeting that is taking place at Newmarket this week. After a fairly long spell of indifferent racing we are treated to some quality for the next three days. So that should bring some focus to your trading. It’s not an amazing meeting but you should be able to dig […]

10/07/2014 | By | Reply More
It’s not just about the big stuff

It’s not just about the big stuff

OK, we are in the thick of some major sporting action at the moment. I’m soooo busy it’s difficult to know which way to look at times, but it’s great fun. I apologise if I’ve been a bit quieter recently, but I simply haven’t had the time to devote to updating the blog etc. I’ll […]

01/07/2014 | By | Reply More
Gamble fail, trade win

Gamble fail, trade win

A quiet end to Ascot week, but I’m relieved that I can now return to more ‘normal’ trading patterns. I did OK on the day, but one trade stood out. The 17:00 at Ascot. ‘Absolutely So’ was gambled massively, more than any horses I think I’ve seen at Ascot. Widely tipped, It had a terrible […]

21/06/2014 | By | Reply More
Royal Ascot week

Royal Ascot week

Thanks for the feedback on World Cup stats. Inspired, I’ve combined a general overview of Ascot with some data on previous years meetings. Please see the embedded video further down this post. It goes without saying that Ascot is big, but how big? What are the biggest days? That may surprise you if you are […]

16/06/2014 | By | Reply More

Tennis

Sweet spots

Sweet spots

Every market has a sweet sport. Odds that will be reached more often than others, a score. This also applies to trading. Depending on how you chose to enter and exit, there is a sweet spot in terms of when it’s best to trade in and out. When I model a market I’m looking for sweet […]

06/07/2014 | By | Reply More
Tennis trading

Tennis trading

In my journey to understand Tennis I had to work out how and why the market moved, so it was with that in mind that we created Tennis trader. It allowed us to probe the deepest detail of any Tennis match and set up strategies that would allow us to profit from that. Using Tennis trader […]

03/07/2014 | By | Reply More
Inside the Shadowy World of Tennis Courtsiding

Inside the Shadowy World of Tennis Courtsiding

Interesting article on Court siding with contributions from Sporting Data, whose spotter was ejected from the Aussie open earlier this year, and also news of a book coming out about it! An interesting dialogue on the world of courtsiding. You can read the full article on the fivethirtyfive web site. Various quotes from various sources but […]

29/05/2014 | By | Reply More

Soccer

Did Betfair have a good World Cup?

Did Betfair have a good World Cup?

Now the fuss has died down and the rioting taken place, it’s time to reflect on the World Cup. From a footy perspective it was great. Much more entertaining than the previous world cups and plenty of talking points. England somehow managed to surpass even their supporters low expectations. I managed to do a record amount on […]

14/07/2014 | By | Reply More
World Cup Final stats

World Cup Final stats

These stats are brought to your by our friends over at Football Form Labs. Check out their site and the powerful software that sits behind these comments. First off, kudos to Football Form Labs for picking the winner of the World Cup. But hold your horses the match hasn’t started yet? Well it doesn’t matter because they […]

13/07/2014 | By | Reply More
Das erste Halbfinale

Das erste Halbfinale

I couldn’t talk about the Rio 2014 semi finals without paying homage to Germany’s remarkable record. Forget all the England coaches we have had in the past, why don’t we get a German in charge? Die BBC hat eine schone Zusammenfassung: – http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/football/28202397 Der letzte “normale” Arbeit, die ich gemeint hatte, arbeitete ich für drei […]

08/07/2014 | By | Reply More
Neymar out Germany in

Neymar out Germany in

It’s interesting to reflect on my post yesterday when I indicated that backing the winner of the first quarter final may prove fruitful ahead of the second match. As it turned out there was another reason why this may be the case, but it came from an unexpected source. With Neymar now out of the […]

05/07/2014 | By | Reply More

Using Bet Angel

Automating your activity with Bet Angel

Automating your activity with Bet Angel

Bet Angel automation is quite simple. When you first fire it up though, you may not thing this but lets look at why a complicated looking interface is easy to understand once you look at each section in turn rather than as a whole. Rules files Firstly, let’s have an overview of the terminology. In Bet Angel […]

22/06/2014 | By | Reply More
Premier League Final Day Stats – last 15 years

Premier League Final Day Stats – last 15 years

These stats are brought to your by our friends over at Football Form Labs. Check out their site and the powerful software that sits behind these comments.  Premier League Final Day Stats – last 15 years Backing every home team would have given a +6.2% profit over the 150 matches There have been 34 matches where the […]

10/05/2014 | By | Reply More
Win by backing the loser

Win by backing the loser

An unusual strategy but one I documented in this recent post on the Betfair web site. The dutching in Bet Angel contains a neat feature called the ‘margin maker’. This allows you to create a book with one price offset to a nominated value. This is useful for risk management when deploying a strategy in […]

04/05/2014 | By | Reply More

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