The impact of transfers

05/02/2011 | By More

Back before the start of the season I tipped a number of teams to struggle and managers likely to leave their jobs, by and large I have been spot on. A couple of surprises, but come the end of the season I’d should be well up on the deal over the course of the season. So, how did I find these opportunities? Just one word, money!

That money makes the world go around is true and none more so in the world of football. The net effect of transfers should be to increase the performance of teams in the long term. However, we all know that just chucking together good players isn’t enough and you need a good manager to get them to work together well.

Torres is no doubt a fine player but his confidence has evaporated recently and his move away from Anfield was probably the right one. Will it galvanize Chelsea? That is another question altogether as its over to Ancelloti to make that happen. I’m not so convinced he can keep all these star players firing. Will paying £35m for Carroll be a wise investment or just a wild punt? Much will depend on if ‘King Kenny’s’ management style is suitable for the modern game.

Meanwhile over at Man Utd, Ferguson is in the increasingly usual position of not having as much money to splash about as other teams. This means he needs to draw on his management experience to make things happen. His pedigree to do this is undisputed. You also have this interesting ‘confirmation effect’ at the moment in the Man Utd team. Unbeaten this season and chasing that down has added extra belief and incentive into the team. The champions league will be key to the elite teams confidence.

So, given all the spending I reckon we are in line for an ‘as you are’ period. All things are relative, including spending. One teams buy is likely to negate the others. The top teams are likely to continue to be out of the reach of aspiring mid div’s.

My focus in now on the bottom of the table where an interesting end to the season is almost assured.

The new Torres?


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Category: Football trading strategies

About the Author ()

I left a good job in the consumer technology industry to go a trade on Betfair for a living way back in June 2000. I've been here ever since pushing very boundaries of what's possible on betting exchanges and loved every minute of it.

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