Bet Angel - Betfair sports trading and betting blog » Football / Soccer http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp Sports trading since June 2000! Fri, 24 May 2013 12:03:42 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 Next Everton manager http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/21/next-everton-manager/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/21/next-everton-manager/#comments Tue, 21 May 2013 16:43:13 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=8287 Despite no football matches being on, there is still gold in them thar hills! The next Everton manager market is looking like providing a nice post season boost to my footy results.

Currently we have had six potential managers trading at odds of 4.00 or lower and there still seems to be a fair amount of uncertainty as to who could be the anointed one. Anybody who has been on my course should have been active on this market and should …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/21/next-everton-manager/feed/ 0 Today’s crop of dodgy football matches http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/18/todays-crop-of-dodgy-italian-football-soccer-matches/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/18/todays-crop-of-dodgy-italian-football-soccer-matches/#comments Sat, 18 May 2013 08:36:34 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=8259 The football season is pretty much over, but the fun and games are not it seems. With a few things to be decided in Italy there is still time for some unusual odds, volume and perhaps results? I have attached an image for posterity. At 09:00 this morning the matched bet volume on Verona vs Empoli was the leading traded volume on the football for the entire day for all matches!

Novara vs Lanciano – £15k matched, £11k on the …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/18/todays-crop-of-dodgy-italian-football-soccer-matches/feed/ 0 My season long shot http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/11/my-season-long-shot/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/11/my-season-long-shot/#comments Sat, 11 May 2013 09:30:40 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=8104 May day is pay day for me, on a number of football markets. Season long bets mature and pay out months of hard work.

Relegation and promotion markets are something I play in each year and they can be quite fertile territory, if you have the patience.

Where to look

The new manager effect is a well understood phenomena in football. The old manager is given the boot and existing players suddenly have somebody new to impress. It’s a little …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/11/my-season-long-shot/feed/ 0 How do the Italians get away with it? http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/11/how-do-the-italians-get-away-with-it/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/11/how-do-the-italians-get-away-with-it/#comments Sat, 11 May 2013 06:50:18 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=8198 I know I’ve posted a few times on this, but it’s really difficult to fathom in an age of close scrutiny and elevated morality in sport how matches like this occur. Today – Bari vs Cesena

I just downloaded todays football for analysis and on this match £30k has been match and all but a minor amount has been matched on the draw, which is going off odds on! Amazing, or it would be, if it wasn’t so predictable!

You …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/11/how-do-the-italians-get-away-with-it/feed/ 0 The longest running Betfair market ever http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/08/the-longest-running-betfair-market-ever/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/08/the-longest-running-betfair-market-ever/#comments Wed, 08 May 2013 16:05:36 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=8182 News that Sir Alex Ferguson is about to retire has re-ignited interest in the long forgotten ‘Next Man Utd manager market’.

This is a market that must hold the record for the longest ever market on Betfair. Some must be glad it is coming to a close! According to the start date on Betfair, the market first opened on 17th September 2001! I realised it had been up there for some time, but that date even surprised me.

Since the …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/08/the-longest-running-betfair-market-ever/feed/ 1 End of season Italian football – I predict a draw http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/04/end-of-season-italian-football-i-predict-a-draw/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/04/end-of-season-italian-football-i-predict-a-draw/#comments Sat, 04 May 2013 09:56:35 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=8160 As I have pointed out in prior years at the same time, end of season Italian football can throw up some strange situations and odds. Here are the ‘top’ eight matches with the lowest price for the draw today.

Spezia Vs. Lanciano – Draw odds – 2.08
Cesena Vs. Juve Stabia – Draw odds – 2.1
Chievo Vs. Cagliari – Draw odds – 2.3
Cittadella Vs. Reggina – Draw odds – 3.1
Crotone Vs. Modena – Draw odds – 3.3…

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/04/end-of-season-italian-football-i-predict-a-draw/feed/ 0 What’s Messi worth to Barcelona? http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/02/whas-messi-worth-to-barcelona/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/02/whas-messi-worth-to-barcelona/#comments Thu, 02 May 2013 14:28:24 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=8136 I recently asked a similar question of Gareth Bale and last night made me feel a move for Mr Bale is almost certain this summer when Spurs fail to qualify for the champions league.

But back to last night.

I must admit I was anticipating that Barcelona would ‘go for it’ from the off in an attempt to get an early goal and put pressure on Bayern early on, but it never came. Bad tactics, poor motivation? It seemed something …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/05/02/whas-messi-worth-to-barcelona/feed/ 0 My favourite football trading set up http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/04/10/my-favourite-football-trading-set-up/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/04/10/my-favourite-football-trading-set-up/#comments Wed, 10 Apr 2013 19:37:44 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=7982 We had a couple of wonderful matches in the champions league last night, I am hoping for some more tonight.

If you want to qualify the comments on this post, simply browse the football related posts I’ve made over the years on here and you will see why last night was a really nice set up for a possible bumper result.

Both matches last night were good trading fodder as they had a really strong incentive to score in both …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/04/10/my-favourite-football-trading-set-up/feed/ 0 How much is Gareth Bale worth? http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/04/07/how-much-is-gareth-bale-worth/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/04/07/how-much-is-gareth-bale-worth/#comments Sun, 07 Apr 2013 08:41:04 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=7966 Quite a lot I would reckon. So the inevitable summer debate will be will who will Spurs sell him to?

Never quite seems to work out though does it? I don’t know how many star players I have seen sold, only to see them not fit into their new set up. But there is one thing that is in no doubt, just how much Gareth Bale is worth for Spurs not just in monetary terms, but on the pitch.

If …

]]> http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/04/07/how-much-is-gareth-bale-worth/feed/ 0 Lessons from England vs San Marino http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/03/22/lessons-from-england-vs-san-marino/ http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/2013/03/22/lessons-from-england-vs-san-marino/#comments Fri, 22 Mar 2013 16:31:31 +0000 Peter Webb http://www.betangel.com/blog_wp/?p=7853 When England played San Marino at Wembley last time I captured a bunch of data. I was aiming to try and understand the best way to approach matches at such short odds.

In hindsight, most of it was obvious but it was worth examining; after-all there are lots of very short prices out there this evening.

There isn’t much to say about matches like this, England should completely pummel San Marino, but England are England aren’t they?

At Wembley, despite the …

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