Bet Angel - Betfair sports trading and betting blog » Motor sport

Bahrain Formula 1 Grand Prix

Peter Webb — Sun, 21 Apr 2013 08:00:41 +0000

My quest to model all F1 circuits continues and its starting to yield results. It’s been a massive task, but I just love fiddling around with data to better understand a sport and look for an edge. If I don’t find anything, it makes for a nice magazine article anyway!

There is a limited data set from Bahrain so comparing this track to others is not an exact science, but when you sort the data a couple of characteristics pop …

Short note on the Australian F1 Grand Prix

Peter Webb — Sat, 16 Mar 2013 22:24:34 +0000

Last year I had a couple of thoughts about Formula one and motor-sport in general, so I embarked on a research project. Still a lot of work to be done and conclusions to be reached.

I’m still not finished on the research and I don’t have a complete data set but one I started the research, sensibly, at the start of the season and started working through each race going back ten years or as far as I could go. …

Home advantage

Peter Webb — Tue, 09 Oct 2012 16:28:19 +0000

One rule I have, is to favour positions where they is a psychological bias in the in the underlying event. What do I mean?

Take a look at the post I made about the Olympics not so long ago. This post documented home advantage bias with some academic evidence and concluded by explaining a number of reasons why this exists.

Imagine in a football match that we have a strong home team playing a weak away team and the away …

British Grand Prix

Peter Webb — Sat, 07 Jul 2012 09:35:23 +0000

I’m off to see the British Grand Prix this weekend. Just my luck that the race day should coincide with the moment the first Briton in 74 years is going to be playing the men’s final at Wimbledon, I’d quite like to watch that. But I can’t renege on the offer to take my son to Silverstone, even if it means trudging through what is likely to be very boggy ground.

The weather forecast looks mixed at best and this …

Motorsport mayhem

Peter Webb — Sat, 12 May 2012 18:03:52 +0000

Another classic example of the complexities, but opportunities, presented in motor-sports markets.

These markets are often difficult to price at the best of times. It gets even more fun when the stewards get involved. Objections, scrutiny, obscure or not so obscure rules, changes, or breaches thereof.

After a blinding lap delivered Lewis Hamilton pole position for the start of the Spanish grand prix. Now a failure to adhere to the rules on his qualifying run down lap relegated him right to …

F1 is back – Australian Grand Prix

Peter Webb — Sun, 18 Mar 2012 08:18:42 +0000

Well my tickets for Silverstone are already booked and I’m looking forward to the new season.

I don’t tend to do much on Motorsport, but over time I’ve become adept at picking out opportunties on F1. Have a browse of some previous blog posts.

Comments from winter testing and early season practice tend to show you whose cars are competitive and whose are not. Other teams will catch up over the course of the season and rule changes can …

British Grand Prix

Peter Webb — Sun, 10 Jul 2011 07:48:50 +0000

By the time you read this I will be tucking into a Bacon Roll at Silverstone, home of the British Grand Prix.

I’ve been determined to get to more sporting events this year rather than just sit at my desk looking for an opportunity, so I am pleased to confirm I am fulfilling that obligation so far this year. I was going to the Open Golf, because it is in the south this year. But given recent events I think …

Canadian entertainment

Peter Webb — Sun, 12 Jun 2011 21:34:19 +0000

Not often you see a formula 1 race like that! I lost count of the number of times Jenson Button pitted, then he goes on to win the race! Vettel lost it on the last lap and was turned over at 1.04, Button was backed at very big odds. I wasn’t trading it but perhaps should have been given the weather conditions. Sometimes it’s just nice to watch the sport, especially when it’s this entertaining.

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F1 season trading

David — Sat, 26 Mar 2011 16:51:17 +0000

There are some great trading opportunities through the course of F1 races, but you wouldn’t catch me betting on the drivers or constructors championships pre-season. There are just too many unknowns. However, here’s a trend that might be of interest and something that can be used to your advantage.

Over the past six years, partnerships have been increasingly fruitful for teams, particularly at the start of the season. In the first ten races of the 2005 season, only one one-two …

You thought racing had integrity issues!

Peter Webb — Sun, 08 Aug 2010 06:30:17 +0000

Formula one race fixed at the weekend, some strange moves in odds on Tennis matches. These have all be topped by this remarkable boxing ‘match’. At least the winner had something to say about it.

Full story here: -

http://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/sport/boxing/betting-stink-over-fight-farce/story-e6freygr-1225895840688

All 29 seconds seconds of the ’bout’ here: -

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5qqtYErML_M…