Posts Tagged blackburn

Over / Under 10.5 goals

You don’t see that market very often, but you did last night. What a remarkable match, Aston Villa 6 Blackburn 4! At 0-2 down Villa were matched in volume at 10′s, this match was a trading bonanza! The market was just slightly out on this one forecasting just 2.60 goals. Excluding specifics of the match itself, I can only find three 6-4′s in my recent detailed database of 10,189 matches. So its around at least a 3400-1 shot. Great entertainment anyhow. I think Milner should go to South Africa for the world cup next year. Every tournament needs some energetic new blood that the other countries won’t know much about, I think Milner fits the bill.

I had several emails of some spectacular totals from this match, much better than my efforts, I hope you did well also.

100120 - Aston villa vs Blackburn 6-4

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Swine flu hits Blackburn team

See full article here: -

http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/teams/b/blackburn_rovers/8325606.stm

The impact on the market has been immediate, with the price on Blackburn drifting throughout the day. I guess this will continue unless the match is called off. I’m not particularly keen on making money on somebodies misfortune so I will duck out on this one.

While most Football markets are pretty stable things like, injuries, weather and illness can have a profound affect on the pre-match market. I’ve seen lots of similar things in the past. Probably the most notorious was when the Spurs fell ill against West Ham a few seasons ago. They need a win to qualify for the champions league, but with a lot of the team out of action, it didn’t happen.

Have a look at the graph from that match as a comparison with today. A very curious lay of 25k just before the drift really started!

060507 - West Ham Vs Spurs - Food poisioning - Spurs Odds

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