Posts Tagged celtic
Arsenal vs Celtic
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on August 26th, 2009
With the end of the evening racing I’ve finally put my footie head on. Market is priced for 3 goals with Arsenal expected to score at least a couple of those. From a stats perspective the price on Arsenal and Celtic is about right. If pushed for a price I would offer 1.40 on Arsenal and 11 on Celtic, looks like a Arsenal win! But I would also offer only 5′s on the draw which means there is some value in that.
I’ve put some thought into the match and popped up a video for you: -
Why do Man U get more penalties?
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on January 29th, 2009
Celtic 11 – Dundee United 10.
Odd scoreline but this was actually just the penalty shootout. You can view all 14 minutes of it here. I was watching some tepid premier league match in comparison testing a couple of strategies. It got me thinking about what is the biggest shoot out. According to the article here it seems to be 16-17 with all but the last penalty scored. It’s quite amusing seeing goalkeepers take penalties but, by accident or not, the Celtic goalkeeper scored the best of the lot IMHO.
To answer an age old question, yes top teams do get awarded more penalties. I did a study quite a few years ago to confirm this. You will also be interested to know that lower teams concede more. While it feels like a conspiracy, it’s generally not. Putting aside the stats, it just turns out that teams at either extreme are more likely to be attacking or defending deep and a penalty is therefore more likely as a result. That’s likely to disappoint the conspiracy theorists.