Posts Tagged cricket
World Cup Cricket
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on March 31st, 2011
Some really massive matched amounts coming through these markets. New Zealand vs Sri Lanka reached £30m in matched bets and so did last nights big match between Indian and Pakistan.
I hadn’t considered doing much on this tournament but I’ll be taking a very keen interest in the final now given the level of activity on these matches. Advice to follow on another post.
Some winter cheer
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on December 26th, 2010
One look at the racing card will echo what you will have seen for the last month or so, abandoned racing. It’s the worst period I have known in my ten years on Betfair, pretty bleak. Boxing day usually brings a whole slew of opportunity and some top quality action at Kempton. Today, out of the 11 meetings due to take place today, only one hasn’t been abandoned as I write this, and there is a real prospect of that remaining fixture being lost. This has be costing racing a fortune.
On the upside I was up early this morning to watch the Ashes and feeling there was value in England, see yesterday’s blog, I was lovely and green when I rose to watch the match. I also did of a bit of racing in Caulfied and Randwick to top up the account.
It looks like a thaw is about to set in this week but the forecast is ominous again at the moment for the end of the week. Let’s hope the weather returns to normal again and we don’t experiance a ’63 winter again. I’ve almost forgotten what it’s like to have a normal day!
Overreaction to Aussie supremacy?
Having taken a look at the stats in preparation for the fourth Ashes Test down under, one of the things that has really stood out is that there has not been a draw at the MCG since 1997. In that period there have been 10 Australian victories and England were beaten by an innings and 99 runs the last time the sides clashed.
There’s no denying that the Baggy Greens have an excellent record at the MCG, but traders should remember that the Aussies are a shadow of the team they were last time England visited the imposing venue.
Other than the batting collapse in Perth, England have been the dominant side in the series and their price – they were available at 3.25 on Betdaq at time of writing - looks longer than it should be for this pivotal contest. Unlike the pitch in Perth, the MCG track will help negate the pace attack from the Aussies while also allowing spinner Graeme Swann to have a say in the result, something he was largely denied last time.
Overall England look the better value to win the Boxing Day clash and that of course would mean a British return for the urn. I would certainly expect England’s price come in a fair bit towards the middle of the contest.
Busy week ahead
Posted by Peter Webb in Tennis on November 23rd, 2010
World tour finals Tennis in London, top quality stuff afternoon and evening. Champions league football and then cricket throws in its hat with the Ashes. Going to be a great week to exit November!
Too hard
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on September 22nd, 2010
There are many thousands of markets that will come under your eyes each year. So which ones should you do? The hard ones or the easy ones. Not a difficult question is it? So why do so many people pick situations that are likely to fall into the too hard category? I’ll explain on another post, but before that, let me explain how I approach each opportunity.
When I approach a market, I will label it easy, not sure or too hard. Tonght we had some Carling cup football matches on and I filed this in the too hard category. Teams with little incentive, unusual team line ups, it’s all a bit too tough to make a sound judgement on, so I will pass. Perhaps worth a speculative postion, but not much else.
Imagine you are batting at a cricket crease, but there is no wicket. You can let the bowler chuck balls at you all day long without getting out. All you need to do is wait for an easy delivery. When you see it, hit it. You should look to do exactly the same when you are looking for an opportunity in a market. If you don’t like the current one, another will be along in a minute. Try and hit everyone and you will probably do a poorer job overall.
Doing nothing can, rather curiously, be doing something.
Well done England
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on May 18th, 2010
Has the feel good spirit started for English sport? The English cricketers comprehensively won the 20/20 Cricket world cup on Sunday, can the English football team respond by wining their world cup? I doubt it, but it’s nice to dream, even if that is all it becomes. Well done to the Cricketers though, not only does it take skill to win something but a little psychological mettle and some luck. The English win was a definite and deserved victory though I feel. I’m not just saying that from bias, it looked to me like a comprehensive victory across the tournament.
I played around in the market but not being a cricket specialist I didn’t achieve anything of any significance. Such was the nature of Englands victory that a collapse never happened and I never feel comfortable chasing short and shortening odds. However, here is the graphs of odds for you for your interest: -
