Posts Tagged europe league

Barcelona vs. Inter Milan

I have to admit to being underwhelmed by the champions league this year. There haven’t been many superb matches, certainly not from a trading perspective. Last night wasn’t much different when Bayern Munich demolished Lyon without so much as a last desperate effort from the side that was about to go out. It’s all been a bit disappointing as I love strong incentives to win and things like late goals, that’s where the really big results come from.

The market this evening looks interesting as it is pricing in a match with more than three goals, of which at least two will be in Barcelona’s favour. Of course Barcelona needs to overturn a 3-1 deficit from the first leg, so scoring a two nil win would do the trick, but Inter Milan simply have to defend when the match kicks off. They can afford to sit back and play deep and will only need to rethink their strategy if Barcelona get an early goal. I don’t think Jose will attempt to be adventurous in this case and I think the market may be pricing in too many goals? If Barcelona get an early goal, the match will liven up considerably, till then, I don’t think the opposing team have any incentive to press forward.

I’ll be watching with interest, but it’s the Europe league matches tomorrow that are my prime target this week.

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A busy day

I haven’t chosen a good week to get the flu, it was such a busy day today. I really only performed at a fraction of my true capacity. The football was good last night and the golf but I watched little of either. My golf position will not mature till the end of today’s round so I will have to rise on Saturday morning to close that out. Fantastic to see Tom Watson move from odds of 1000 to just 100 on the first day. Surely we won’t see Turnberry again, it would be amazing; especially on such a tricky course. Tiger has picked up where he left off so his odds now reflect that.

The first day of Aintree was a bit of a let down. There is something weird happening in these markets so we capture a ton of data yesterday and will analyse it today. Hopefully we can learn from yesterday and move forward today, we have to nail it ahead of the Grand national on Saturday.

I’ve cancelled my appointments of today and will take the morning off to try and build up some energy for this afternoon.

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