Posts Tagged french open tennis
Soderling vs Nadal – The ninth game
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on June 6th, 2010
What’s the significance of the ninth game?
In a competitive final you could expect both players to try and play out of their skin. But, you could also expect that both would try do avoid doing anything stupid in the first set. It’s important to get off to a good start, but it’s equally important not to blow it early on. So a game of cat and mouse, probing your opponent and holding serve, is a quite likely occurance in a big match.
If the match goes to 4-4 in the first set, then an opportunity will open up in the ninth game. At this point if you can break the serve of your opponent you then serve for the set. So stepping up your game, trying a few tight or tricky shots will pay expectional dividends in the ninth game. If the game is 30-30, you are only potentially two points away from being a set up. If your opponent sends the first serve out, then you can step inside the baseline and look to get only one point from your target. The ninth game is very significant given the right circumstances.
When Soderling and Nadal step out tomorrow if they reach the ninth game they will be priced at 1.30 and 4.30, pretty much the same as they started at. One set to Nadal would see him trade at 1.13, if it went to Soderling, Nadal would be 1.72. Look at yesterdays Womans final for evidence of what happens if that ninth game is broken.
While breaks of serve are important, some are more important that others. There are many similar points throughout a match. Put yourself in the players shoes and you will soon understand where they are.

Stosur vs Schiavoone - Break in the ninth
Nadal brings bonus
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on May 31st, 2009
Well that was a surprise, Nadal crashed out of the french open today which opens up the competition dramatically. £1,159,628 was traded at 1.03 on Nadal, Ouch! In all when Nadal came back into the match and traded at 1.08 £9.4m out of £9.5m had backed Nadal. Low backers took a serious, serious thrashing today.
For me it was an unexpected bonus as I had dutched the field, excluding a number of players, with the intention of catching an unexpected outsider doing well or a short price player going out early. To be honest I didn’t expect Nadal to go at this point so I am now very green across the winner market. I think I have done enough and have closed out any red at this point.
The French Open is turning out to be the best Tennis tournament I have traded for some time. It’s a great confidence boost ahead of Wimbledon. Lets hope it continues!

Murray is 11% better than Starace
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on May 27th, 2009
Just watching the 2nd round match at the French open. According to the market at the ‘off’ Murray was 11% better than Starace at winning a point on his serve. Currently Murray just lost the second set, but reading the match Murray appeared to lose hope of turning around the second set and effectively just gave it away, probably to conserve energy. With Murray serving first in the third set I may consider backing Murray subject to how the third set unfolds.
