Posts Tagged gold cup

Kauto can’t

Last week I asked if Kauto can, but it seems he can’t. With no racing of note on today I thought I’d review this race for you.

The 11 year old isn’t the same horse as previous years, no surprise there. But it was disappointing to not have another historic moment in racing. There haven’t been many over the last year and it’s nice to hang a news story on these things. I think racing has missed out as a result. Too often good horses are retired to stud too quickly IMHO, no chance here of course!

As predicted the price on Kauto came in during the morning and I was sitting pretty but a blip out evaporated a lot of that. I waded in again when the price moved in, confirming what I had suspected, but I was really caught out by the erratic moments before the off. I ended up closing out for what felt a disappointing total on such a big race.

I can’t really explain why the market destabilised like that and it is unusual. Ultimately I was just a bit slow spotting it or else I would have done much better. I did pretty well on other races and overall Saturday was a good day. This was pleasing being the first day that cross matching was switched on. Any change will always leave you in some doubt on the impact so it was reassuring to put in a decent day. When the race was underway I laid Kauto for the Gold Cup and have now traded out so I already have a profit on the ante post market. Just looking forward to March now!

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Only a few seconds..

Amazing how a few seconds can make such a difference.

Ahead of the Eon chase we were speculating in the office at how short a price Denman was. In fact it was more like moaning, because we knew it would make getting anything out of the race pretty difficult. Our conclusion was that the incredibly skinny odds of 1.17 or thereabouts really represented the fact that Denman was going to win easy, except if he fell. We watched the race and witnessed Denman just trotting around the Newbury circuit with ease. We still continued our discussions as the race was underway. At which point I piped up and said, “I’m going to lay him”. I already had a reasonable, though not spectacular, profit on the race and just fancied my chances. No sooner had I said that than he stumbled, I never got filled at 1.05. Then he clattered into the next and it was all over. A few seconds early and I could have possibly had my biggest ever single daily total! Isn’t hindsight a wonderful thing.

I switched quickly to the gold cup market but it seems many others had already and his price had already drifted enough.

100213 - 1430 - Denman price movement

100213 - 1430 - Denman gold cup

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Golden day ahead

After what has been an excellent week we can look forward to the big day today. Thanks to all the users who have emailed me this with some excellent results and it’s great to see some exceptional totals out there. I’ve always been reluctant to post my figures up as I think they can often set false expectations but it’s great to see I was humbled on Tuesday!

Looking at the structure of the Gold Cup today it looks like it could be a significant race today from all perspectives. So I’ll be doing my best to pull something out the hat today across the card and on this race. Cheltenham has ‘felt’ much better this year after last years debacle. I still did better last year on the previous but this year has proved much better than expectations. Lets hope today tops off an excellent week.

Best of luck whatever you are doing and however you are doing it!

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