Posts Tagged international

Internationals

I had my own international experiance last night when I met up with Howard Hamilton from Soccermetrics. A dedicated group of stats experts huddled in a pub in Fulham to discuss all things football related. Could have done with a quieter pub!

With so many international matches going off at once, or at best close to each other, you may consider using a generic strategy that you can automate. All this can be done in practice mode as well, so you have no risk of losing money. Have a look at these videos for some ideas: -

Trading multiple markets in one football match

http://www.betangel.tv/video/trading-on-football-soccer/176-multiple-markets-football

Linking and trading multiple football matches

http://www.betangel.tv/video/trading-on-football-soccer/177-multiples-matches-football

Example overs/under football spreadsheet

http://www.betangel.tv/video/trading-on-football-soccer/210-overunders-ss

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International friendlies part 2

If you want evidence to back up my previous post, have a look at the following chart from Albania vs Macedonia. It would be easy to assume you could tell what was going on in this match. But this graph was actually taken at 53 mins into the match at 0-0. The match ended 0-0, go figure!

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International friendlies

I can’t offer dramatic insight into these matches this evening.

They are often difficult to price and have a lot of variables that you just can’t take account of. So if you are playing in these matches I would recommend some specualtive plays opposing the obvious. When you look at the teams, the incentive to win is a bit dulled and the underlying players will probably be jumbled around and mixed up. So it’s difficult to get a real handle on the real fundamentals. I’ll be laying at short prices if I see an opportunity, but I will also be down the gym rather than giving in a real go. A night for speculation only!

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Are England Hungary enough?

After that rather forgettable world cup campaign do England have enough enthusiasm to munch through some goals against Hungary?

Some new blood is expected to be on the pitch this evening but I can’t muster much enthusiasm for the match. From a betting and trading perspective I don’t like friendlies as it’s difficult to really establish what the true price should be. That makes recommending a really viable and worthwhile strategy incredibly tough. I struggle to participate in things I don’t understand or can’t model and friendlies fall right into that category.

The market is pricing in three goals in total and 2.40 of those to England so it should be a comfortable England win. I think the most ‘interesting’ bet though is from Paddy Power. You can get 5/1 on “Any England player to be caught giving an offensive gesture to the crowd”

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