Posts Tagged man utd
Backhim?
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on March 10th, 2010
2-3 is an interesting score line for Mr Beckham to bring to Old Trafford. I thought Beckham was anonymous in the first match. I am sure he will want to do better in this leg. Two away goals is a killer for AC Milan and therefore Man U are at very short prices to qualify. Milan need a clear two goal win to stand any chance so they must score.
The market is pricing in just short of three goals with a .75 goal advantage to Man Utd. Similar to yesterdays Arsenal match. Would be a surprise to see a similar score line! I sense a tentative start by Man U who will wait to pick a hole in the Milan defence and try and catch them on the break. It’s Milan who have to make things happen!
Real Madrid are priced to comfortably over turn Lyon in their match. Priced at 3.20 goals with a 2.20 advantage. They only have one goal to overcome, but a Lyon away goal would really throw the cat among the pigeons. I think both matches show a lack of clear cut opportunties so I fancy making a little money before the off and picking some outside chances in both.
Man Utd time
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on September 20th, 2009
Couldn’t help but watch the Manchester Derby. Man United desperately needed a late goal at home and guess what, the officials managed to find nearly seven minutes of extra time to allow Man Utd the best possible chance to score. Has this happened before I ask?
The average extra time added is around three minutes. So seven minutes is right at the far end of the bell curve, given that it represents 15% extra time in the half. But what is even more amazing is that the officials clearly, clearly, signalled FOUR minutes of added time. City manager Hughes was complaining on the touch line as to why the match was continuing well past the allocated time, he knew what was coming. The plain truth is that the match should have ended at least 90 seconds before Owen slotted in the winner. Hughes will quite rightly feel very aggrieved that yet again a match at Old Trafford finally ends when Manchester United eventually put the ball in the net.
No sour grapes from me, just an observation. When the match has drifted well into extra time I laid the draw with the profit I had made on scalping it after the sixth goal, but I would certainly wish this scenario wouldn’t play out time and time again at Old Trafford. I would happily dismiss claims of bias as an optical illusion but when you see something like that, it just doesn’t feel right, does it!
Champions league is back – Inter vs Man Utd
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on February 24th, 2009
Tonight sees the resumption of the champions league with the intriguing match of Inter vs Man Utd.
Mixed signals are coming out of both camps about how they will play. Mourinho suggesting defence will be key, Ferguson hinting that won’t be the case. I doubt either are likely to tell you exactly what they are thinking.
The market is thinking about a draw. The goal forecast from the market is for 2.20 goals on average with a slight edge to Inter. Looking at my stats I reckon Man Utd are a little too short in the market. Fair value should be around 3.05-3.35. Under 2.5 goals should be around 1.56 for a match with these characteristics, so that looks long term value.
If you are interested in how I view this match and the most sensible way to trade it, view the following video. The following video was made using Soccer Mystic. Soccer Mystic is free when you sign up to Bet Angel.