Posts Tagged spurs
1234 & 9-1
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on November 23rd, 2009
Amazing result from Spurs on Sunday. Not often you get to see 10 goals in a match, especially nine of the them in the second half. That said, Spurs did get a 6-4 against Reading on 29/12/2007. In the same season we also had Portsmouth vs Reading on the 29/9/07, which produced a 7-4 scoreline. I have actually watched a 10 goal match. It was Southampton vs Coventry, which Southampton won 8-2. Some time ago though, that was back in 1984.
1234, where does that come into it? Well according to my model, that was the theoretical odds that there would be ten goals in this match. Checking my database that turns out to not be far from what what we have seen in recent years.
Personally, I think it would be fun to have odds above 1000 on the exchanges and also more correct scores to choose from, at least something starting with 4’s would be good. Somehow I don’t think we will be seeing any 9-1 markets any time soon though.
Swine flu hits Blackburn team
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on October 26th, 2009
See full article here: -
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/teams/b/blackburn_rovers/8325606.stm
The impact on the market has been immediate, with the price on Blackburn drifting throughout the day. I guess this will continue unless the match is called off. I’m not particularly keen on making money on somebodies misfortune so I will duck out on this one.
While most Football markets are pretty stable things like, injuries, weather and illness can have a profound affect on the pre-match market. I’ve seen lots of similar things in the past. Probably the most notorious was when the Spurs fell ill against West Ham a few seasons ago. They need a win to qualify for the champions league, but with a lot of the team out of action, it didn’t happen.
Have a look at the graph from that match as a comparison with today. A very curious lay of 25k just before the drift really started!
