Posts Tagged tiger woods
Getting better at Golf
Posted by Peter Webb in Golf on August 5th, 2011
In real life and on the markets!
Out with my son again this morning who got his first par today and I managed to get round the whole nine holes on par. Haven’t done that for a few years, one birdie, one bogey. I’m also getting better at understanding the golf markets. It’s taken a few years but I am finally getting under the skin on the markets. It’s proved pretty interesting and it’s also been a bit of a learning curve as I am trying to predict things on a very broad basis rather than a narrow one and that has proved the key to getting to the bottom of the markets. I’ve drifted outside the majors into other competitions now I am confident in what I am doing. I don’t know whether these will work as well, but there is only one way to find out! Anyhow, day one movers from the Bridgestone Invitational, returns to a £10 back bet: -
Adam Scott – 55 to 5.5 – £90
Jason Day – 40 to 6.8 – £48.82
Nick Watney – 28 to 11 – £15.45
Tiger Woods – 19 to 15 – £2.67
Martin Laird – 130 to 42 – £20.95
Ryan Moore – 90 to 44 – £10.45
Rory Sabbatini – 120 to 44 – £17.27
Stewart Cink – 100 to 48 – £10.83
Brandt Snedeker – 110 to 42 – £16.19
Kyung-Tae Kim – 210 to 120 – £7.5
Thomas Bjorn – 310 to 95 – £22.63
Jonathan Byrd – 240 to 150 – £6
D.A. Points – 380 to 100 – £28
Keegan Bradley – 250 to 180 – £3.89
Pablo Larrazabal – 460 to 170 – £17.06
Ryo Ishikawa – 410 to 200 – £10.5
Arjun Atwal – 810 to 510 – £5.88
US Masters – The cut
Posted by Peter Webb in Golf on April 9th, 2011
It’s been an excellent Masters so far and the big mover before the cut was Jason Day who was trading at 300′s yesterday and has come into 16′s. Fortunately, I had some money on Day at 240′s, so that’s really made up the numbers at the cut. Tiger looks menacing so I have taken profits on positions and will re-appraise during the third day. I have plenty of profit to play with now. If I can’t see any new opportunities then that will be it for the tournament. It’s warming up nicely for the final day. Lets hope McIlroy can keep up his excellent performance so far, would be an amazing result for him.
US Masters golf
Posted by Peter Webb in Golf on April 7th, 2011
First trade of the tournament is already done. When the market was formed Woods was way too short at 5′s so I laid him. His best finish this year is T10 and there is no evidence at the moment that he was anywhere near a 4/1 chance for the masters. It turned out a lot of people thought the same and he is at a much bigger price and I am out for the moment. Not very often you get a trade like that before things get underway!
When things are underway I will start hunting for those big prices that are going to shorten up. The Masters has thrown up some big priced winners in the past. It’s such a tricky course that anybody who is in the zone can see it through at big prices. On the flip side a well skilled player can make one mistake and blow up as a result. Recent big price winners were Trevor Immelman , Zach Johnson and Angel Cabrera whom all won at odds well exceeding 100.
I have half an eye on Vijay Singh as one to follow, his form has ticked upwards recently and he has an excellent record at Augusta. Plenty of prospects in the field.
Woods slumps to career worst
Posted by Peter Webb in Golf on August 9th, 2010
Woods finished on 18 over at the WCG Bridgstone in Wisconsin, his worst performance as a professional. Playing at elite level in any sport is often about state of mind and Woods is obviously struggling at the moment. I’m suprised at the prices he has been offered to win these tournaments. His lack of form since returning from his break has thrown up many quality trading opportunities.
For the full story head on over to ESPN which has a good summary of the story: -
http://sports.espn.go.com/golf/columns/story?columnist=harig_bob&id=5447166
US Masters
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on April 8th, 2010
Picking a winner in any major golf tournament is a very, very tricky task. There are only a few strokes between the top of the leader-board and being out of contention. Any body who has played golf will know that a few strokes difference is only a hook, slice or shank away.
Anybody who has been on my course recently should know the angle I will be taking on this event. But the great unknown here is how Woods will perform? This will complicate matters significantly. Typically Woods would have been at much shorter odds if this was a ‘normal’ tournament but with all this stuff going in his personal life he opened at around fives and has drifted to 7′s. If he gets off to a good start then I think the market will shorten him up quickly, but if he doesn’t then his odds will slowly drift to ‘Mickelson’ type odds. I think a lot will depend on how relaxed he is at Augusta and how the crowd take to him. I’ll be watching the first round to try and get a feel for that. As people know I’m likely to avoid the front of the field but there is bound to be a lot hinging on how Woods plays so whether you want to or not, you won’t be able to avoid how his odds affect the rest of the market. I was sort of hoping he wouldn’t play, but it will be interesting to see how things unfold. I feel the fact he has returned so soon shows you his true personality and intent, he wants to win.
I have included a graph for this years US masters. for how the odds moved on Woods in previous masters, please view the thread on the forum.
Tiger woods 2010 US Master before the start
Woods to take indefinite break
Posted by Peter Webb in Golf on December 12th, 2009
Tiger Woods is taking an indefinite break from professional golf to tackle problems in his private life. In a statement on his website, he said he was aware of the disappointment “my infidelity” had caused to his family. “I have decided to take an indefinite break from professional golf. I need to focus my attention on being a better husband, father, and person.”
http://web.tigerwoods.com/news/article/200912117801012/news/
Anybody who trades the golf markets will know that a market with woods in it, is really a case of will he or wont he win? With Woods missing from the field, this will significantly open up these markets and create a whole host of opportunities.
I hope its not the end of Woods, I doubt it, so hopefully we can look forward to his return at some point in the not too distant future. In the meantime its a massive chance for some of the close rivals to get a decent shot at a major.
My favourite Tiger moment and one of the best ever in golf: -