Posts Tagged value
FA CUP value
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on January 23rd, 2010
Where is the value in today’s FA Cup?
To be honest any recommendations would come with a large pinch of salt. While predicting matches in the same league is quite a straightford process, doing the same in a cup competition can be pretty tricky. If there are any matches I am likely to get caught out on, its quite likely to be a cup competition, especially in the early rounds. As such I’ll do some simple things when the screen is full of cup matches. It’s just too risky to use the same model as you do elsewhere.
Looking for upsets and ‘local’ derbies is a good place to hunt. But nothing can replace simple, low risk, trading positions. Once complete you can use this money to take fairly speculative positions that can have good pay off if a shock occurs. This is where I be playing this afternoon.
FA Cup value?
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on January 2nd, 2010
In the absence of horse racing today I’ve taken a look at the FA Cup fixtures this afternoon. Subject to team sheets there appears to be a lot of potential value in the Reading vs. Liverpool fixture this afternoon. I’ve explained my full rationale on the forum.
Of course, just seeing value doesn’t mean the result will come in. But over time hunting for value is always a good strategy. If the weather persists in being so cold, I’ll get the chance to explain more.
Football value this evening
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on November 10th, 2009
A quick glance on this evenings football has through up Leeds as a clear value candidate. Rather than duplicate the information here, please have a quick read of the posting on the forum. The thing that stands out on this match is that it is a clear value candidate. Very often things are a lot more marginal, but here there is clear room.
Bear in mind that value only appears over time, so you need to stake with that in mind and consistantly over a number of matches. Read my previous post about this.