Posts Tagged west ham
0-0 Continued…
Posted by Peter Webb in Football / Soccer on December 12th, 2011
Well the two key matches I was looking at worked pretty well in the end but the other ‘deserved’ 0-0 at half time ended up 3-0 to the home team. This illustrates a key point.
With any in-play market you are hostage to what happens during the event. If you take a rigid approach to the underlying event you can’t really hope to out perform the statistics that can be modelled in the market.
In yesterdays match Joey O’Brian was booked in the 61st minute. Four minutes later he got his second booking and West Ham had another player booked as well. One minute later Reading scored and West Ham were well on the back foot. West Ham ended up having two players sent off and conceded more fouls than Reading. Basically, they lost it. You could only see that during that five minute spell in which it actually happened. If you had any positions open on the match, that five minutes spell should have forced you to radically re-asses your position.
Hopefully that’s shown you why keeping an eye on an event in-play will help you outperform those that don’t.
- Where it all started to go wrong for West Ham
O’Neill new manager of West Ham?
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on January 15th, 2011
BBC report O’Neill to take over at West Ham after the match today: -
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/teams/w/west_ham_utd/9362709.stm
Lay West Ham to be relegated I reckon, if its true.
Arsenal vs West Ham
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on October 30th, 2010
Compiled some premier league ratings today but didn’t get time to put them up this morning.
Anyhow, top of expected list of goals was Arsenal vs West Ham at nearly 3.5 goals. Given that this match is now at 0-0 at half time, but there has been plenty of goal mouth action. I think there is a lot of value here in terms of backing an Arsenal win or laying a low goal tally. Counter arguments are that is a local derby and West Ham will have a good incentive to nick a point with a backs to the wall approach, but you feel Arsenal should win this. Even moreso given how the first half has gone.
I’m going to give it a go. I may not get it right this time, but with the same set up in the future I think I will get it more right than wrong.
Swine flu hits Blackburn team
Posted by Peter Webb in Bet Angel on October 26th, 2009
See full article here: -
http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/teams/b/blackburn_rovers/8325606.stm
The impact on the market has been immediate, with the price on Blackburn drifting throughout the day. I guess this will continue unless the match is called off. I’m not particularly keen on making money on somebodies misfortune so I will duck out on this one.
While most Football markets are pretty stable things like, injuries, weather and illness can have a profound affect on the pre-match market. I’ve seen lots of similar things in the past. Probably the most notorious was when the Spurs fell ill against West Ham a few seasons ago. They need a win to qualify for the champions league, but with a lot of the team out of action, it didn’t happen.
Have a look at the graph from that match as a comparison with today. A very curious lay of 25k just before the drift really started!
