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QE3?

Postby superfrank » Wed Jun 20, 2012 11:52 am

mulberryhawk wrote:The Euro was trading at .90 to sterling last july, it had dropped to .83 by 21st of december when the ltro was announced. It is trading at around the .81 handle as we speak.

that because the banks knew it was coming* and got short the Euro big time.

and so did i - i read it on zerohedge :D

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Postby mulberryhawk » Wed Jun 20, 2012 12:00 pm

classic comeback, i cant argue with that frank :lol:

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Postby Ferru123 » Wed Jun 20, 2012 7:37 pm

Helicopter Ben is up to his old tricks again! From the Telegraph:

The US Fed has twisted again: its monetary stimulus plan, "Operation Twist" will be extended by $267bn in a bid to boost the economy as the central bank still sees weakness.

Jeff

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Postby Ferru123 » Tue Jun 26, 2012 12:37 pm

'In the last six weeks... I am very struck by how much has changed since we produced our May Inflation Report. I am pessimistic [about the eurozone outlook]. I am particularly concerned because over two years now we have seen the situation in the euro area get worse and the problem being pushed down the road.'

Mervyn King today

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Postby superfrank » Tue Jun 26, 2012 9:29 pm

Ferru123 wrote:Helicopter Ben is up to his old tricks again! From the Telegraph:

The US Fed has twisted again: its monetary stimulus plan, "Operation Twist" will be extended by $267bn in a bid to boost the economy as the central bank still sees weakness.

Jeff

they'll be seeing weakness, and printing, for the next 20 years*

* or until it all goes t1ts up.

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Postby Ferru123 » Thu Jul 05, 2012 6:54 pm

Merv heats up the presses again: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/econ ... -50bn.html

The article says that he 'injected a further £50bn into the economy'. That works out at just over £800 per person living in the UK. But I wonder how many people outside of the Square Mile will be even £1 better off as a result of this decision. If Merv is going to kick the can down the road, at least he should do so in style, and use the money to actually stimulate the economy, by having it fund a tax cut...

Jeff

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Postby jimrobo » Thu Jul 05, 2012 7:21 pm

Pretty much combined stimulus announced from around the world at once today.

The uk announcement was one of the smaller ones!!! The public bank of china started it at the same time as the uk announcement, then an hour later the ecb joined the party with their own stimulus.

It has been a strange week in the markets....almost like a ghost town. Markets have been pricing in this stimulus all week with 3 days of heavy buying and light volume then today was like lighting a match on the markets......huge volume from everywhere!!

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Postby superfrank » Wed Aug 08, 2012 11:15 pm

Newsnight's take on Merv's speech today is that an interest rate cut to zero is on its way and that we can expect more QE and also that he "failed to deny that Britain would monetise its debts".

the strategy is failing and their response is to make the strategy more extreme - it's the same as trader doubling up on losing positions with nothing more than hope.

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Postby Ferru123 » Thu Aug 09, 2012 8:08 am

superfrank wrote:Newsnight's take on Merv's speech today is that an interest rate cut to zero is on its way and that we can expect more QE and also that he "failed to deny that Britain would monetise its debts".

I think it's extremely unlikely that it would come to that. Merv's judgement may be questionable at times, but he must know that for Britain to monitise its debts could plunge the world economy into the kind of tailspin that makes Lehmann Bros look like a walk in the park...

Jeff

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Postby superfrank » Thu Aug 09, 2012 9:56 am

Ferru123 wrote:I think it's extremely unlikely that it would come to that. Merv's judgement may be questionable at times, but he must know that for Britain to monitise its debts could plunge the world economy into the kind of tailspin that makes Lehmann Bros look like a walk in the park...

Jeff

have to disagree strongly with that Jeff.

imho it's extremely unlikely that they won't monetise the debt, and not just here but in the US, Europe and Japan too.

all the government debt that the central banks have bought with funny money would have to be sold back to the market. i always said that wouldn't happen.

QE Forever And Ever?
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/guest-post-qe-forever-and-ever

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