payuppal wrote:You are assuming he wins at Kempton and reinvests at Listowel.
The strong likelihood is that he will lose at Kempton and will have no money to bet on Listowel.
Tha's why you are wrong.
payuppal wrote:And you cannot assume he would bet at Kempton regardless.
If Listowel and Kempton are the same time, the Irish punter is much more likely to bet on Listowel.
You have missed my point again.
I am by no means saying all Irish punters are betting on Kempton racing (nor are you).
What I am saying and I do not think it would take a big leap in faith that there may just be the odd Irish punter who is betting on Kempton today as well as the other 2 meetings left on.
And from that pool of Irish people there may just be the odd one who wins on their bet at Kempton. By no means all but I think we can say there may be a few.
Of those few there may be just one or two perhaps who would reinvest their winnings from Kempton at Listowel if they were given enough time to get that bet on.
By putting Listowel back by 5 mins now Muss is off you are increasing the likelyhood that these people who have won at Kempton and are betting in Ireland may bet on Listowel.
But with Listowel not being put back you are more likely to have the above Irish people place their winnings on the next available race to them which happens to be Brighton from which Irish racing gains no benefit.
For those Irish people who lose at Kempton I agree HRI get no benefit, but surely HRI are better getting the people I mention above betting on the Irish racing and not Brighton with their Kempton winnings?
As long as the benefit HRI potentially can gain by putting back Listowel out weighs the cost of doing so it seems a no brainer to put it back and pick up the extra Levy the above people would generate for HRI.
I shall not comment further on this specific discussion as I have made my point quite clearly
and I hope most people can easily understand it and see the logic and we are just going round in circles.