Today's Football
Since 2014-2015 in the Premier League where the home team opened the scoring on 45 minutes and 1-0 HT
19-2-2 > home teams won 83%
1/0.83 = 1/5
43% ended over 2.5 goals > 1/0.43 = 13/10
how does the time of the opening goal in an individual league added to the game state = current score effect expectation of the other team fighting back = survival analysis > and how does it effect accuracy for the rest of the game >
this is an area that very few people / models are looking at > the time of the opening goal is the most crucial factor in football but the mainstream are still to discover this
Everton
1 - 0
Stoke City View events More info
W. Rooney 45'
1 - 0
19-2-2 > home teams won 83%
1/0.83 = 1/5
43% ended over 2.5 goals > 1/0.43 = 13/10
how does the time of the opening goal in an individual league added to the game state = current score effect expectation of the other team fighting back = survival analysis > and how does it effect accuracy for the rest of the game >
this is an area that very few people / models are looking at > the time of the opening goal is the most crucial factor in football but the mainstream are still to discover this
Everton
1 - 0
Stoke City View events More info
W. Rooney 45'
1 - 0
My notes from the first day:
West Brom, very effective and brilliant at set-plays
Chelsea - what is going on there? Selling Matic is bizarre
Man Utd - looked very strong. Either that or West Ham are hopeless.
Everton - not sure how they'll do this season after losing Lukaku
Newcastle - defensive and conservative, but quite strong - typical Rafa.
West Brom, very effective and brilliant at set-plays
Chelsea - what is going on there? Selling Matic is bizarre
Man Utd - looked very strong. Either that or West Ham are hopeless.
Everton - not sure how they'll do this season after losing Lukaku
Newcastle - defensive and conservative, but quite strong - typical Rafa.
I was just thinking from a defensive point-of-view they looked pretty good - but didn't create any chances so maybe they'll be this season's Middlesborough
Didn't realise that the Everton match is being streamed on YouTube - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qE3d4UUtCss
- ruthlessimon
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