Davydenko-Gasquet

[Equity]

Anybody working on this game???
When Davy was break down in the first set somebody was pretty sure he will come back popping 30 000 bets around and really suppressing odds to ridiculous levels.

[Euler]

Missed it unfortunately. If you have any data, score and odds we can reverse engineer it to have a closer look.

[Equity]

Don't have any data unfortunately. But the game is still on if that helps

[Euler]

Betfair graphs are showing a big spike on Gasquet but can't seen anything odd on Davy'd. Could be masked due to the odd nature of the Betfair chart.

[Equity]

Yes there is 100k spike on Gasquet also there where 30k bets on Davy which weren't matched all at once but were dispersed in the market.
It wasn't straight forward collapse but still obvious. Guess that's how it's done these days.

[LeTiss 4pm]

Gasquet drifted quite a bit during the day, so Davydenko has been attracting significant bets all day

Are you implying the betting patterns have been suspicious? It wouldn't be the first time Davydenko has been the subject of such accusations

[Equity]

Gasquet wasn't injured or at least he didn't show any signs.Davydenko on the other hand had pretty bad body language and looked frustrated yet there were massive bets placed on him to win.
There is the only way to explain that.

[gallybloke]

I traded the match start to finish and personaly didn't think there was any foul play involved.

Looking at the odds pattern Gasquets S/P was 1.42 he broke Davy first game and then held serve his odds went into 1.25 nothing unusual there, then some big money came in on Davy but that was to be expected - live on sky (plenty of money about) Davy showing some form this week plenty of time to turn it.

IMO all that was - was a sharp or sharps who lumped onto the price being driven down by the early break.

And actually I thought Davy looked the better player from game 3 onwards even though he went 5-2 down before winning the set - hence the reason I had plenty of money in there as well.

[Equity]

From my experience it wasn't kosher. In the first set everytime Davydenko did not break Gasquet his odds still finished lower or same as at the beginning of the game. Even when he didn't challenge his opponent.You had this huge bets trying to get matched at already ridiculous levels.
At first I went against it but fortunately I have realized something is wrong here and rode the wave.
If I knew something more than the market but did not want stir too much attention I would have probably done it same way.