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Postby woohoojd » Wed Apr 18, 2012 9:54 pm

Been paper trading a few football games this week using multi markets. Been interesting and I think there are opportunities. You can constantly re-assess the score and time and decide whether to be more aggressive or hedge out. When they go right you can roughly make 30% on the total value of the stakes you place... if they go wrong you are usually in a 5-10% loss position. However, if you are unfortunate and 2 quick goals are scored you could be fully exposed for all your stake. It's more of a calculated gamble then pure trading.

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Postby woohoojd » Wed Apr 18, 2012 10:02 pm

Also anyone trade snooker? World Champs start this weekend and seems like a classic sport to trade. Lots of ups and downs just from someone getting a few pots at the table and they don't even need to win the frame for their to be huge movements. Plus lots of nerves and misses.

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Postby mcfc1981 » Wed Apr 18, 2012 10:12 pm

times when i will drop horseracing for cricket.

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Postby superfrank » Thu Apr 19, 2012 12:05 am

pre-race trading is my b&b and financial trading 2nd preference. of the other sports cricket is preferred (not dissimilar to tennis trading but much more watchable and interesting- the only good thing about tennis is the scoring system). 'do a bit of football (great liquidity, although i don't rate much it as a trading instrument) and the golf majors.

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Postby Charon » Sun Apr 22, 2012 11:50 am

Since I'm still learning I think this is the correct topic to post my question. This is what happened:

I've tried (practice mode) to lay the draw in the one click screen. 15 Ticks, Stop at 10 ticks, Place stop at 15 ticks. So there was one matched bet and one unmatched.

After 20 minutes it was 2-0 already and odds where way above the 10 ticks. But the bet didn't get matched. Can someone explain me that?

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Postby woohoojd » Sat Apr 28, 2012 10:46 pm

First main bit of trading today and it was a success... £79.31 green up. Decided to go for snooker as it's something I know a bit about and picked the Carter v Trump match tonight. I had in mind the point I was going to enter and then the point I was going to exit if it went well or if it went badly.

If Trump had not missed the pink with that ridiculous clearance he nearly pulled off I would have only been about £40 green across the board. It still feels like gambling to me though as there is no certainty in the outcome so maybe I am not actually trading. I just know that Carter is a very good player who has had a harsh few years. He seemed to be cueing well last tournament and looked good first game.

Do any of you still feel like your gambling? I want to move away from gambling but I just can't see how you can predict how events will unfold... unless you've got the Almanac like Back to the Future.

I've done other little bits of trading with £2 stakes on tennis and footy and I've come out with 10p - 20p greens. There is so much money in the footy pre off that I worry about getting matched when I am sat behind £20,000.

PS if you want any tips I think it could be Carter or Robertson who win this World Champs. O'Sullivan is playing better but is still too much a liability for me. Maguire is not good enough. Hendry is not good enough. Stevens doesn't have an all round game. Higginson is a good player but I think nerves will get to him if he makes it to the latter stages - have to see how he goes against Jones. Sorry for boring you all about snooker.

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Postby Alpha322 » Mon Apr 30, 2012 3:13 pm

woohoojd wrote:Been paper trading a few football games this week using multi markets. When they go right you can roughly make 30% on the total value of the stakes you place... if they go wrong you are usually in a 5-10% loss position. However, if you are unfortunate and 2 quick goals are scored you could be fully exposed for all your stake. .


Yes you could be fully exposed for your stake thats why the stake should be in accordence with your capital balance and should be an amount in your plan that you accept to lose (With Football) When pre horse race trading some traders use there whole bank :shock: which i find a DANGEROUS strategy, only because of BF wobbly API
I only expose a certain percentage of my whole capital. If i want to make more points i top up the account not use more of the bank, the balance in the bank i use to take those managed losses




woohoojd wrote: It's more of a calculated gamble then pure trading.


Yes calculated with a plan, without one Gamble at best

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Postby woohoojd » Mon Apr 30, 2012 4:07 pm

12-12 final frame Trump v Carter... going to be lots of ups and downs to trade I reckon.

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Postby woohoojd » Wed May 09, 2012 10:19 pm

Hi all... hope everyone is doing well !

Got another question... is it possible to successfully trade the 'bounce' (i.e. the overreaction when, say, a goal is scored) or is every man and their dog doing this?

Would it be possible to automate this kind of trade to make it faster or is there a problem with the match being suspended and then getting your bets in and out?

Many thanks in advance

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Postby superfrank » Wed May 09, 2012 10:30 pm

woohoojd wrote:Got another question... is it possible to successfully trade the 'bounce' (i.e. the overreaction when, say, a goal is scored) or is every man and their dog doing this?

sure it's possible but you're right, every man and his dog and the neighbour's dog too (and plenty more waiting for the overreaction in the correction of the original overreaction). there are far better edges.

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