RSSCategory: Featured

The London Marathon – When I became a QPR fan

The London Marathon – When I became a QPR fan

If you are running the London marathon today then, I’m jealous! But I’d like to wish you the best of luck and hope you have a really good run. Good luck to all those running or watching the London Marathon today.

I still harbour ambitions to do one more marathon, but for the moment I will remain on the side of the road encouraging support. I’ve been really good this year and gradually built up my distance again, but once …

23/04/2017 | By | Reply More
The Bet Angel trading forum & community

The Bet Angel trading forum & community

As regular Bet Angel forum users will be aware last month the forum was upgraded and moved to a better, faster server. The simple reason for this – to handle the increased flow of traffic which has been steadily building for some time now.

Philosophy

We have a simple philosophy for the forum, that has helped it grow steadily over time. It’s viewed very much as a collective effort, the sum of all participants, not just Bet Angel users, and …

20/04/2017 | By | Reply More
Ten years apart

Ten years apart

A reflective and rather long post for the bank holiday weekend.

Don’t look back in anger

I recently looked back at some stats from the start of 2007 and compared them to 2017. I’ll often compare previous periods and markets to see what I find. I’ve always archived huge amounts of data as doing so allows me to monitor my own activity, but also see how the market changes over time.

My strike rate on racing in 2007 was a …

15/04/2017 | By | Reply More
There is Light at the End of the Tunnel!

There is Light at the End of the Tunnel!

We are now in the middle of February which is historically the poorest and hardest trading month of the year on the pre-race horse racing markets, typically there will only be around £450m traded this month which is around 40% less than the amounts expected as we hit peak season where the monthly volume will of increased to around £750m.

How does this effect thing from a trading perspective?

When trading any market liquidity is key none more so than …

13/02/2017 | By | Reply More
Bet Angel user guide, upgraded!

Bet Angel user guide, upgraded!

As regular users will know Bet Angel has continued to grow year after year with new features continually being added, often at the request of our users. This has inevitably resulted in an ever-expanding and extensive online user guide.

Quick links

We have therefore noticed that sometimes finding the information you’re looking for may have become quite time-consuming. For this reason, we have added in a new tab ‘Quick Links’ which we hope will make the online user guide more …

27/01/2017 | By | Reply More
Starting out as a sports trader – Scaling up

Starting out as a sports trader – Scaling up

I was back on my small account on Monday. I was recording a few videos at low stakes (I posted one last week) and also giving instruction to my daughter; she is progressing nicely.

I’m also teaching a new recruit to the team. It’s interesting to watch and learn from newbies and how they look at the market. I feel like It’s a microcosm of the entire market. I ‘feel’ this in the market every day, but experiencing first hand …

14/12/2016 | By | 4 Replies More
Be Prepared – Always Have a Back Up Plan

Be Prepared – Always Have a Back Up Plan

How many times have you had an open trade only for an unforeseen incident out of your control too suddenly occur resulting in you not being able to close your position and possibly leaving you staring at a hefty loss – especially if it’s an open lay position.

If this is something that your fortunate not to have experienced yet then it’s worth reading on if you want to keep it that way, for those unfortunate to have already been …

17/11/2016 | By | Reply More
Gone To The Dogs

Gone To The Dogs

So if this is your first years trading then the last few weeks may have been a bit of a shock for you following the hectic summer period.

You go from being spoilt for choice over which markets to trade just a few weeks ago, to suddenly having very few markets to look at. The ones which are available will have a very different feel to what you have become accustomed to – however this is perfectly normal for this …

05/11/2016 | By | Reply More
Manual or automated?

Manual or automated?

It was with interest this week that somebody pointed me to a blog post debating, or should I say justifying a stance on automated trading vs manual trading. Here is my angle on it: –

Financial markets

If you look to financial markets you have many aspects to it. High-frequency traders, slamming in positions in and out of the market to scrape a few cents per trade in as large a block as they can get through. A very specialist …

24/09/2016 | By | Reply More
Calamity Cambridgeshire

Calamity Cambridgeshire

I’ve picked off a few good results from the Cambridgeshire in the past and hope to this weekend. But I will remember this race forever for a disaster I had in 2011. Perhaps appropriate given the Betfair outage earlier this week, which I doubt that will be repeated. But is right at the forefront of my mind as I approach the big race tomorrow.

Outage outrage

Back in 2011 as we approached the key race of the day people started

23/09/2016 | By | Reply More
Newmarket – Behind the scenes at the home of British horse racing

Newmarket – Behind the scenes at the home of British horse racing

A few weeks ago I was fortunate to be invited to Newmarket (the birthplace and spiritual home of British horseracing) by a fellow Bet Angel forum member who is an ex-jockey that rode for Sir Mark Prescott for many years.

Newmarket itself is steeped in history and is built around horse racing with approx. 3000 horses stabled across 2500 acres. It is home to most of the UK’s top trainers. The best way to describe it would be to say …

14/09/2016 | By | Reply More
Curtain comes Down on Rio 2016 Olympic Games

Curtain comes Down on Rio 2016 Olympic Games

That’s it for another 4 years having been glued to my TV for last 16 days flicking from one sport to another next week I can begin to get back to some normality and trading – for the next few weeks at least!

As a big cycling fan it was great although no huge surprise to see the GB track cycling team perform so well at Rio 2016 and bring the largest haul of medals home – with the same …

24/08/2016 | By | Reply More
How evening racing is different

How evening racing is different

We have now started the evening racing in earnest and it won’t stop till the end of August. So you have four months to make hay while the sun shines, not forgetting we are in the England, so it won’t shine much.

However, there are at least four different states that you see in racing during this period.

(1) Afternoon racing

This tends to me higher quality than the evening racing and will therefore trade differently.

(2) Evening racing

There

20/04/2016 | By | Reply More
US Masters – Trading Golf markets

US Masters – Trading Golf markets

I like the US Masters, mainly because it’s the only major played on the same course each year. This means you can collect a ton of stats on how the course plays. This gives me a good guide as to when to trade in and out of a position. You can do this on most courses, but because the Masters is at the same location every year it is much more predictable.

If you are a golf player, when

06/04/2016 | By | Reply More
Cheltenham day one preview

Cheltenham day one preview

Willie do it again?

As I wrote last year, Willie Mullins is once again looking likely to dominate the first day of the 2016 Cheltenham Festival. It does seem, according to some that he simply has to turn up on Day 1 of this year’s equine Olympics and leaves everyone quaking in their boots; especially the bookmakers! I have to say that Willie may not have it all his own way as his horses do not, in my humble opinion,

15/03/2016 | By | Reply More
Echo’s of 77

Echo’s of 77

Leicesters heroics this season echo me back to a period in English football when the impossible happened. The 1977/78 season.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1977%E2%80%9378_Football_League

Liverpool were the dominant team and had been for some time. Then out of nowhere popped Brian Clough and Nottingham Forest to storm to the title.

Of course back then things were a bit different and teams didn’t have £1bn to spend on a squad. So success now would be even more remarkable.

More remarkable about that period was …

14/02/2016 | By | Reply More
My trading journey

My trading journey

February can be a bit quiet and with a lack of high profile events in some key markets can be a bit depressing. So how about some inspiration for you?

I grew up in the middle of nowhere into a family of not much. I didn’t arrive in the world with massively high expectations lets say. I left school with not much of a leg up into the world, as my favourite subject was playing sport, so I couldn’t hang

13/02/2016 | By | 1 Reply More
Option to profit

Option to profit

Been nosing at the Derby vs. Man Utd FA Cup this evening with interest.

Man United are about evens for the match and playing away. This struck a chord with me.

First off, everybody knows how bad Man Utd have been recently. Their last 11 home games at half time have been 0-0,0-0,0-0,0-0,0-0,0-0,0-1,0-0,0-0,0-0,0-0. OK they are away and at a team a division lower, but confidence is obviously fragile. If Derby want to make things difficult, especially tactically, they can.

29/01/2016 | By | Reply More
Help me, help you

Help me, help you

Over the last 15 years I’ve researched roughly a million markets, traded somewhere approaching 175,000 and recorded thousands of videos. I often record myself trading so I can look back and understand how I could do better, I’d recommend it!

The problem

It would be nice to publish a lot of those videos, unfortunately I don’t tend to have the time to do that. We keep a small team here and there are only 24 hours in a day! That’s …

27/11/2015 | By | Reply More
ATP World tour finals

ATP World tour finals

The ATP World tour finals have already started, in case you hadn’t noticed, and tonight we were treated to a Djokovic vs Federer rematch. Today Murray vs Nadal.

I like this tournament. I’ve been a couple of times now and it’s such a different feel from the slightly stuffy and exclusive Wimbledon. It was great to hear that London will continue to host this series until at least 2018. It’s much more vibrant than Wimbledon and you WILL get

18/11/2015 | By | Reply More
An elegantly timed Betfair outage

An elegantly timed Betfair outage

Ok, so no Betfair outage is elegantly timed in reality, but as you may have noticed, I’ve been quite this week. That’s because I find myself in San Francisco at the moment. So the outage was ‘handy’ as I wasn’t going to be trading this morning, but also the ‘why’ bit of my location explains why the outage came at a good time.

Silicon Valley

I’m always interested in tech startups and of course Silicon Valley is home to an …

24/10/2015 | By | Reply More
US Open Tennis – Scoreline statistics

US Open Tennis – Scoreline statistics

US Open Tennis – The statistics behind the scorelines

Advice from Dan from tennisratings.co.uk .

I thought I’d look at the US Open on a historical basis and look at the statistics behind the scorelines. An angle I wanted to look at for this blog post was laying players in-play when either a set up, or two sets up. As an introduction, the table below shows the percentages each correct scoreline occurred in Grand Slams since 2011:-

Scoreline 2011
02/09/2015 | By | Reply More
Knee jerk reaction to new football season

Knee jerk reaction to new football season

Not a trick question, but how many games are there in the season?

Well there are 38 in the premier league and 46 in the other three tiers. So if you win the first match of the season what impact would that have on your chances? Not much you would think. Three points divided by 38 isn’t exactly a large number, but last weekend we saw quite a large reaction to some mundane first day results.

Chelsea’s difficulty in breaking

13/08/2015 | By | Reply More
How to win the league

How to win the league

As the new season is upon us all football fans up and down the country will no doubt have fresh hopes about what the season will bring. Transfers have been done and hopes raised. But what is it that makes a team successful? What is the most defining characteristic?

The defining characteristic

As is well known, a lot of club revenue gets spent on wages to attract top players. This is in the hope that buying talent buys performances. Quite

07/08/2015 | By | Reply More
Life on the trading desk of a big bookmaker – Pt. 2

Life on the trading desk of a big bookmaker – Pt. 2

For part one click here

The day came to start my new role as an ‘in-play sports trader’……

Inside the offices

The department was massive, large TV screens covered the walls, there were rows of desks with multiple screen set-ups. It looked fantastic, I knew I had made the right decision to apply for this job, I felt a buzz just from being there.

I pictured it to be like the trading floor of a stock broker’s with everyone rushing

31/07/2015 | By | Reply More
7/7 – Why I never turn my phone off, ever….

7/7 – Why I never turn my phone off, ever….

Most people know the significance of this date, but for a small group of traders this date has even more significance.

Our story of this day

It started the same as any other day. I was scheduled to do a talk in central London on guess what, trading on betting exchanges. I took the train in central London, as did my delegates and after switching from overground to underground I remember clearly looking at the clock on the exit at

07/07/2015 | By | Reply More
BETDAQ Royal Ascot promotion

BETDAQ Royal Ascot promotion

BETDAQ is back with a key promotion at Royal Ascot, well timed if I say so myself!

As I’m sure you’re aware, next week is a huge one for traders with Royal Ascot and the US Open taking place. BETDAQ has traditionally performed well during the big meetings (see the image below), if not better nowadays than Betfair. So it’s an ideal opportunity to give it a try next week. I tend to trade on both exchanges during these key

12/06/2015 | By | Reply More
Let’s hope the Derby is this exciting

Let’s hope the Derby is this exciting

I’ve taken a diversion from just just posting an image of a result to putting some detail into events at the Oaks today. It was such a fascinating market from beginning to end.

The first thing that happened was ‘Legatissimo’ contracted quite heavily, but the pictures showed that it wasn’t enjoying it’s journey to post, so it looked a obvious lay. Slowly but surely the market reacted to it’s behaviour. This generally got worse till the horse cleared the main

05/06/2015 | By | Reply More
Monaco Grand Prix

Monaco Grand Prix

You could be forgiven for thinking that if you qualify on pole in Monaco you will win. The tight street circuit is a big test for anybody who is attempting to overtake, but my stats paint a different picture.

Street vs. Race circuits

Monaco was one of the first circuits I profiled and it was because I expected it to throw of some definable characteristics. But what it taught me was just how different street circuits are to custom race

23/05/2015 | By | Reply More
How to win every year on the Grand National

How to win every year on the Grand National

So the Grand National is upon us and that monumental task faces us again, picking a winner from 40 runners. Worse than that, all our friends will want a tip as well.

Picking the winner from this incomprehensible field is a bit of a nightmare. There are some common trends that are touted each year. Horses that haven’t won over three miles are generally not considered, as are horses with no experience of large fields. Positives are age, experience, proven

10/04/2015 | By | Reply More
Hypersmash.com