ICC World Cup 2015

T20, IPL, Test matches or the Ashes, discuss it here.
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burdo77
Posts: 351
Joined: Sun Jun 09, 2013 4:13 am

I might add, trading cricket Is fantastic because records are getting broken left right and centre. There are plenty of people trading with duckworth Lewis and various other models which are outdated. Which makes it a goldfield if you understand the game
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Euler
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I've been really interested in limited over Cricket but realised that the DW method is flawed so have been exploring a variety of ways to model.
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Euler
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It's more the impact of a wicket and how the batting order affects that.
burdo77
Posts: 351
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There's not a one size fits all approach. Some players will have a bigger impact on the price. Furthermore, grounds have different dimensions which alters par score and the way teams play. Aussies will go bouncing the ball all day tommorrow and If nz can't handle those tactics nz will crumble. 300 runs will be a winning score at mcg, whilst it won't be in nz grounds.
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Euler
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Rather one sided final at the moment
Lagos
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From a trading point of view Aus are a low risk lay with the ball swinging and the agressive fields being set by McCullum could easily be a couple more wickets in the first dozen or so overs
Lagos
Posts: 204
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How unlucky is that, moves the 2nd slip the ball before he nicks it through there.
Vettori injury looks worrying for NZ
burdo77
Posts: 351
Joined: Sun Jun 09, 2013 4:13 am

I've been really interested in limited over Cricket but realised that the DW method is flawed so have been exploring a variety of ways to model.
have you checked out the stern version? they used this model for the recent WC
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