Cricket trading : S.Africa v England test Match trading thread

The crack of leather hitting willow...
SportBilly
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Fri Jul 14, 2017 4:55 pm

Interesting game indeed. I have managed to somehow be very patient this test and laid the draw at tea.

A great couple of wickets after tea and I've traded out for now. If only all trades went this well!

A pretty even test match at the moment, ENG poss ahead.

SportBilly
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Fri Jul 14, 2017 4:58 pm

Now du Plessis gone just as I typed previous post.

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megarain
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Fri Jul 14, 2017 4:59 pm

SA 220-5

Eng 1.8

SA 3.5

Draw 6.4

Job done

henbet22
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Fri Jul 14, 2017 8:00 pm

megarain that is quality. Gutted to miss out getting a feel for the correct pacing/rythmn

Looking further ahead is the next entry price point for the draw lay if it comes is in the 2.2-1.8 range on Sat? That is what I would aim for I think.

Do you run smaller ranges than that and therefore smaller stops?

As ever don't answer if you think you are giving too much away!!

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megarain
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Fri Jul 14, 2017 10:49 pm

COP .. SA 309-6 .. Par score, might be 300/375/400 depending who u speak to.

Eng 2.7 (Day 1 high, 4.5, low 1.52)

SA 2.9 (Day 1 high, 4.5, low 2.5)

Draw 3.5 (Day 1 high, 8.0, low 2.7)

I frankly havent a scooby, who I like to win .. or even.what to do, in the next session. So, am flat, having taken profits, on some good trades.

The draw is most unlikely to go, 1.8-2.2 on Sat .. It needs a v specific set of circumstances, which, I cant see happening. I imagine the draw is a lay now, but, think u can wait, to get it cheaper.

Thinking about stuff .. I will respond to emails etc, when I get a chance.

henbet22
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Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:06 am

Ok that's great. Thx.
Think I will look to lay SA if Eng 1 or 2 down early on then.

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megarain
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Sun Jul 16, 2017 9:04 am

Day 3 beckons.

Draw 20, and game looks possibly like Lords, where its over in 4 days, despite fact u could lay draw in both games, sub 3.0.

Now, if only we could somehow automate this ...

:mrgreen:

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harsh
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Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:48 am

@megarain

good info bro. legend.

question bro:
i am new to trading bro. so its obvious, every trading technique I find, looks like money making technique to me.
i am wondering (just happened yesterday in Sri lanka vs Zimbabve test match) odds of the Draw drift up to 200+. So this means person who laid at somewhere really down at 5 or 10 or 20 is having a huge $$$ in his account. or whoever backed on draw at 200+ then laid it at like at 50, looks like huge money. is this possible bro ?
thanks :D

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megarain
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Tue Jul 18, 2017 12:27 pm

Hi

What is a big account balance to someone, is peanuts to another. There was a story, or someone not cashing a $6m, winning jackpot ticket, becos, it would go to charity, if it was uncashed.

Cricket markets are a derivative from the Indian markets, which, 'maybe', 3x, Betfair.

If a test trades, £100m, on Bf, there is some serious market making, somewhere.

Some strats are kept by @crunchyfrog on twitter. They are maybe, a basis, for some serious money making.
frogjuly2017.jpg
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Euler
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Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:05 pm

Thanks for the thread, it's interesting to see others ideas on trading. I do very little cricket as I'm so busy elsewhere.

Are those stats just outright bets rather than trading strategies?

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