Cricket trading : Ashes 2017 - 1st test Brisbane

The crack of leather hitting willow...
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megarain
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Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Mon Nov 20, 2017 8:02 pm

Thght I would start a thread etc.

Prices 2 days out .. weather f/c, largely pretty good, with maybe odd shower, days 1-4.

Aus 1.81

Eng 3.95

Draw 5.0

Aus record at this ground is stunningly good. The last Ashes game here (2013), Aus won by 381 runs.

(( Just thght I would add series prices ))

Aus 1.48

Eng 4.5

Draw 10

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ZeroCounty
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Joined: Sun Aug 06, 2017 9:43 pm

Wed Nov 22, 2017 1:12 am

England team are in pretty good form, so i think the odds for Eng will go down.

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whimsies
Posts: 56
Joined: Sun Oct 02, 2016 7:37 am
Location: Australia

Wed Nov 22, 2017 1:24 am

England last won at the ground in 1986

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megarain
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Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Wed Nov 22, 2017 5:24 am

The toss will be pretty big.

Expect side winning to bat,and see a price decrease of maybe 10%.

I have a book, something like.

Eng - 5x

Draw - 3x

Aus +1.4x

I will maybe try video certain trading phases. It’s fun to play
With new toys.

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megarain
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Joined: Thu May 16, 2013 1:26 pm
Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Wed Nov 22, 2017 7:07 am

Almost Xmas !!

Current prices :

Aus 1.77

Eng 4.1

Draw 5.1

Here is a graph, of the 1st 2015 Ashes test (Cardiff), historical data.
ashes2015graph.jpg
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Niko
Posts: 282
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2016 9:36 am

Wed Nov 22, 2017 7:25 am

If England win the toss and bat and can keep all their wickets for the first hour or so will the Australians start to drift quite sharply??

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megarain
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Wed Nov 22, 2017 7:35 am

Yeah, thats prob a fair assessment. I would imagine run line for Eng, would be about 360, .. if they look likely to score more, Aus will drift.

if England collapse, Aus price will contract.

Niko
Posts: 282
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2016 9:36 am

Wed Nov 22, 2017 8:13 am

Cherry! !

Is there a data source for expected run rates or is it just from experience of knowing teams, pitch, conditions etc??

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megarain
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Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Wed Nov 22, 2017 9:07 am

A v detailed analysis of the series has been done by Daniel Weston (no affiliation).

I paid the £50.

http://www.cricketratings.co.uk/cricket ... data-packs

Niko
Posts: 282
Joined: Thu Dec 01, 2016 9:36 am

Wed Nov 22, 2017 9:37 am

megarain wrote:
Wed Nov 22, 2017 9:07 am
A v detailed analysis of the series has been done by Daniel Weston (no affiliation).

I paid the £50.

http://www.cricketratings.co.uk/cricket ... data-packs
Cheers!

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