Cricket trading : Ashes 2017 - 2nd Test - Adelaide

The crack of leather hitting willow...
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megarain
Posts: 830
Joined: Thu May 16, 2013 1:26 pm
Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Mon Nov 27, 2017 5:22 pm

2nd Game - Adelaide Nov 2 - (home of the best pancakes in the world)

Only 5 days away, and the scars from Brisbane, may be pretty visable.

Day Night test .. starts 2pm local, so, will be especially brutal for uk viewers .. starting 3am.

Current prices ;

Aus 1.72

Eng 4.1

Draw 5.8

gazuty
Posts: 1022
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am

Fri Dec 01, 2017 2:49 am

Draw looks very high given current weather events in south east Australia. Hmmmm.

I love to lay the draw but my might pass this time.

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whimsies
Posts: 56
Joined: Sun Oct 02, 2016 7:37 am
Location: Australia

Fri Dec 01, 2017 6:45 am

I am in adelaide and most of the bad weather is to the north of the CBD so may give a draw a miss, prediction rain in morning before play.

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megarain
Posts: 830
Joined: Thu May 16, 2013 1:26 pm
Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Fri Dec 01, 2017 8:00 am

Ok, So lets have a look at this :

Its a day/night test .. so, far there have been 6 tests :

1. Aus v NZ - Brisbane - 5-9 Nov 2015 (No historical data available). Had about 4 hrs of play lost due to rain, and game ended, on day 5 - Aus won by 200 runs.

2.Pak v Windies - Dubai - 13-17 Oct 2016. Game ended after dinks, of the final session on day 5 .. so, Draw had some volatility. Pak won by 56 runs.

3.Aus v S.Africa - ADELAIDE - 24-28 Nov 2016. Draw was 20 at end of 1st day. Aus won in a canter.

4.Aus v Pak - Brisbane - 15-19 Dec. Aus won before lunch on Day 5.

5.Eng v WIndies - Edgbaston (cold) 17-21 Aug 2017 .. Eng won by here to Xmas, in 3 days.

6.Pak v Sri lanka - Dubai - 6-10 Oct 2017 . Sri lanka won before lunch on Day 5.

Current Prices :

Aus 1.72

Eng 3.9

Draw 6.2

gazuty
Posts: 1022
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am

Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:26 am

So draw was out to 6.4

Now that its raining .... just sayin.

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mcgoo
Posts: 215
Joined: Thu Jul 18, 2013 12:30 pm

Mon Dec 04, 2017 7:25 am

Had a dabble.Got in on draw at 4.5, got out at 5.6 . Should have hung in for more but was fun to chuck a little $ at it and make a reasonable % in 30 minutes :D

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megarain
Posts: 830
Joined: Thu May 16, 2013 1:26 pm
Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Mon Dec 04, 2017 9:42 am

Cool .. there have been the usual opportunities, thou must admit, day 1 had me a bit confused.
2ndashestestgraphesday3-dec2017.jpg
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Emmson
Posts: 127
Joined: Mon Feb 29, 2016 6:47 pm

Tue Dec 05, 2017 3:23 pm

An awesome game to both watch & trade and on both fronts more to come on the final day. I have a very nice position so all my night shift duties have payed off.

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megarain
Posts: 830
Joined: Thu May 16, 2013 1:26 pm
Location: megarainuk.blogspot.com

Tue Dec 05, 2017 3:51 pm

Day 5 is always a tricky one for full-time traders, as there are opportunities, but, its v volatile and u get the 'what might have been' etc, when u potentially toss away 4 days work.

In these scenarios, i always like the bowling side to win, but, invariably, the batters, trade short.

Think it will go to the wire, and would like Eng, if they get thru to the 1st break, needing 120, with 4+ wkts left.

Current prices ;

Aus 1.34

Eng 3,95

Draw 150

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