Betfair Cricket trading : South Africa vs. Australia. 1st Test. Kingsmead.

T20, IPL, Test matches or the Ashes, discuss it here.
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harsh
Posts: 131
Joined: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:26 am

Mon Feb 26, 2018 4:05 am

From Last few days, I am writing raw material coming out of my brain. so some thoughts below:
Following a tipster in sports market doesn't make any sense to me.
Mainly "Cricket lovers", they just want to believe on somebody and want to do nothing. God is a great creation.


Alright so Prices are:

SA 2.56

Aus 2.54

Draw 4.9

thats 98.8% book. I am trying to find my opinion on this game, which is not easy between these two.
Both teams have beaten their strong opponents recently. Acc. to implied probability, both teams have equal chances
to win. which seems fair to me, so as prices. but I am unaware about ground history for now.

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Cards37
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Location: Canberra, Australia

Mon Feb 26, 2018 8:54 am

I wonder not so much about ground history but I feel that price for Australia probably has some "series history" in it. Have South Africa actually beaten Australia at home since their return ... if they have it was a long time ago.

That said I wouldn't take Australia at that price. Warner has struggled of late (albeit in the shorter forms) and bar Smith I think the top six is really fragile.

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megarain
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 12:33 pm

A lot will depend on team availability.

If Du Plessis/Abd are not available, S.Africa have little chance IMHO.

With them both in, it should be an exciting series.

if I had to pick, would def favour Aus.

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Cards37
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Location: Canberra, Australia

Tue Feb 27, 2018 10:56 am

Last I heard the only one missing will be Steyn.

I think both sides have quality attacks, but South Africa the better batting line up on paper.

Emmson
Posts: 1570
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Thu Mar 01, 2018 4:19 am

Test Match Cricket is already the GOAT for sports trading and this clash draws th attention in a big way.

I have jumped on the draw initially after hearing rumours the pitch will be non spicy to nullify the Aus pacers.

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harsh
Posts: 131
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Thu Mar 01, 2018 10:22 am

At lunch

Aus 2.12

Sa 3.00

Draw 5.2

things are even again.

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mcgoo
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Thu Mar 01, 2018 10:34 am

Me being ex Saffa. I can't help but wonder if the recent land grab legislative vote will have am impact on the psyche of the SA players.It's a pretty huge deal and has distracted me(with family over there) all the way over in Oz. I favour the Aussies to win anyway but I am wondering if any effect on the players will be evident.Strange times in the modern age

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harsh
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Fri Mar 02, 2018 5:25 am

Day 1 graph
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harsh
Posts: 131
Joined: Tue Jul 18, 2017 1:26 am

Fri Mar 02, 2018 6:25 am

Day 2, Game starts in couple hours.

Sa 3.35

Aus 2.08

Draw 4.5

Market will support Aus, no doubt. gotta find sweet spot.

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megarain
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Fri Mar 02, 2018 7:56 am

V good call re Slow pitch, as bad light will be a factor.

Game well set

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