Betfair Cricket trading : Vitality Blast 2019

T20, IPL, Test matches or the Ashes, discuss it here.
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ThePieThrower
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Joined: Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:49 pm

Mon Jul 15, 2019 4:55 pm

My first post on here and after the incredible World Cup thought I would post some stats for the upcoming Vitality Blast.
May be useful, may not be, but just a very basic look at the 20 over form of the game. (Stats taken over the last 5 years)

VitalityBlast19BasicStats.png


VitalityBlast19%Chance2ndInns.png
Graph above shows a basic % chance of the team batting first winning based on their innings score (Excludes limited overs i.e less than a full first innings)


GL.
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Emmson
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Mon Jul 15, 2019 5:02 pm

Good stuff, I need to study analytics side of cricket more than I do. The Blast appeals as its less likely to be marred by corruption than some of the other T20 leagues imho

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Euler
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Mon Jul 15, 2019 5:04 pm

Thanks for posting those stats. Very useful.

ThePieThrower
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Mon Jul 15, 2019 5:06 pm

Very basic stuff but shows what can be found with limited time. Hopefully someone finds it useful, or if nothing else informative.

The log reg graph again is at a very basic level but just a guide.

ThePieThrower
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Mon Jul 15, 2019 11:08 pm

Graph below shows first innings scores by ground in UK T20s (last 5 seasons). Will do this by Home/Away team batting first, should be more informative.
VitalityBlast19HomeGround1stInns.png
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megarain
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Tue Jul 16, 2019 9:13 am

The first TV game is on Thursday .. Notts v Worcs.

This is the scorcard from cricinfo :

https://www.espncricinfo.com/series/805 ... blast-2018

Here is a graph of the game :

Notts 4 Aug 2018 v Worcs.jpg
I also attach a excel file with data split into 100 intervals.

The file is a work in progress, but I just havent the time to devote to it.

Maybe we can all help each other .. or at least .. find some who want to.

Similar excel files are available for games where the Betfair History allows.

The file is 2 games .. I presume the 2nd game was T20. I think the first must have been RLODC .. but havent checked.

I am rushing out now .. will explain better later .. but basically slice 1 starts from in-play 1 sec, till slice 100, which is end of in-play time.

(( Fuck this .. cant upload a xlsm file .. will have to do it later)) sorry
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ThePieThrower
Posts: 69
Joined: Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:49 pm

Tue Jul 16, 2019 9:39 am

megarain wrote:
Tue Jul 16, 2019 9:13 am
The first TV game is on Thursday .. Notts v Worcs.

This is the scorcard from cricinfo :

https://www.espncricinfo.com/series/805 ... blast-2018

Here is a graph of the game :


Notts 4 Aug 2018 v Worcs.jpg

I also attach a excel file with data split into 100 intervals.

The file is a work in progress, but I just havent the time to devote to it.

Maybe we can all help each other .. or at least .. find some who want to.

Similar excel files are available for games where the Betfair History allows.

The file is 2 games .. I presume the 2nd game was T20. I think the first must have been RLODC .. but havent checked.

I am rushing out now .. will explain better later .. but basically slice 1 starts from in-play 1 sec, till slice 100, which is end of in-play time.

(( Fuck this .. cant upload a xlsm file .. will have to do it later)) sorry
Great stuff Megarain! I have some experience with data mining and r so if you want me to look at anything just drop me a message and see what I can do

ThePieThrower
Posts: 69
Joined: Mon Jul 15, 2019 3:49 pm

Tue Jul 16, 2019 3:51 pm

Just a few simple charts showing In-Play odds of last seasons opening day of the Vitality Blast. Leicestershire traded at a whopping 55 and still came back to win!

Not quite as detailed as Megarain's previous charts but just gives an idea.

Essex V Sussex
EssVSus.png
Northamptonshire V Leicestershire
LeicVNor.png
Nottinghamshire V Birmingham
BirvNotts.png
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megarain
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Tue Jul 16, 2019 4:18 pm

Here (hopefully) is a xlsx file of Nottinghams home games in 2018, where over 1m was traded.

The in-play game time is split into 100 slices .. so, for a 180 min game, each slice is maybe 90 seconds.

The in-play high/low within that time slice is shown etc.

Another version of this file, has macros enabled, which was a route I was going down to data mine strategies .. but, I cant seem to upload a excel
file with macros .. so, lets try this.
notts home games 2018 over 1m traded.xlsx
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megarain
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Tue Jul 16, 2019 4:20 pm

Ok, that worked.

Will try add the graphs from these home games, in a bit.
Notts v Derby 2 Aug 2018.jpg
Notts v Durham 17 July 2018.jpg
Notts v bears July 4 2018.jpg
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