Ashes
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Point2Point
- Posts: 81
- Joined: Fri Apr 24, 2009 6:59 am
Any cricket traders out there. Any advice? I fancy having a play but haven't a clue what I am doing!
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OnGoldWires
- Posts: 49
- Joined: Mon Jul 20, 2009 7:07 pm
I don't pretend to be an expert, but I would suggest, from experience of the game, that there is a tendency, particularly in the commentary box, to underestimate a partnership (i.e. overestimate the likelihood of a wicket) just after a wicket has fallen and after a while (say after the partnership has reached 50) the opposite happens.
I would suggest that you are going to win more than you lose if you bet the batting team after the fall of a wicket. If the partnership reaches a respectable half partnership average (say 20?) you should expect to be able to lay for a small profit. If the partnership goes beyond the expected average, a further lay might be worthwhile considering.
I would also be wary of broadcast time lags. It might be wise, if you do have a lag, to bet between overs or during drinks breaks.
Please bear in mind that I have virtually no cricket betting experience, so I cannot testify as to actual market behaviour.
I would suggest that you are going to win more than you lose if you bet the batting team after the fall of a wicket. If the partnership reaches a respectable half partnership average (say 20?) you should expect to be able to lay for a small profit. If the partnership goes beyond the expected average, a further lay might be worthwhile considering.
I would also be wary of broadcast time lags. It might be wise, if you do have a lag, to bet between overs or during drinks breaks.
Please bear in mind that I have virtually no cricket betting experience, so I cannot testify as to actual market behaviour.