Strike Rate / Time of Goals / Staggered Bets

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Dadders
Posts: 57
Joined: Mon Oct 03, 2016 1:36 pm

Hi, I need some guidance here please.

I'm running a strat trading first half goals.

I have a bot that enters 2 Back bets onto the Over 'First Half Goals 0.5' market.
It places 2 x half stake bets. The first bet is placed just before KO then the bot calculates the odds and places a second bet to average out the odds to @1.50.

So here is the issue.
I'm finding due to early goals the profit returned from a half stake at low odds is quite small.
Other times I'm finding that the second half stake is being matched quite early into the game before a goal.
So I've been thinking of adding another Back bet at 2.00 to raise the overall average odds.
The problem is how do I work out if this is a good or bad thing to do?
Should I study the average first half goal time and use that as an indicator?
Are there other parameters I should factor in?
The early goals will still produce small returns due to stake size while games with no goals will have larger losses the more Back bets I add.
Will raising my average odds increase my roi or by increasing the staking this way will more money be going to the losing trades?

How do you work out the optimum way to trade?

Thanks in advance for any help.
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