& vice versa I'm looking to learn new approaches just as much as the next guy. The reason I'm into data because I struggle to understand the discretionary/intuition aspects when it comes to trade ideasarbitrage16 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 18, 2018 5:42 pmSo interesting to speak to someone who approaches the market in a completely different way to me.
Shaun literally reminded me of this an hr ago - but the idea is "cut & try again lower". Which I was aware of, but completely forgot about - until Shaun reminded me very easy to get tunnel vision!arbitrage16 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 18, 2018 5:42 pmFrom that explanation such an approach seems absolutely ripe for confirmation bias "I'll lay this as it's hit the 5% mark...oh, why isn't this reversing?"
What I find especially brilliant, is the fact that confirmation bias you speak of - actually gets incorporated into future trades. i.e. That big loser has shifted the average. The strategy constantly moves & adjusts to the market, so long as the trader constantly updates the figures on the various averages they're tracking.
I'd say a cautious yes. I setup a sheet to test single runner strategies vs strategies based on that same runner (but using the opposition to trade). However, atm I don't believe my own resultsarbitrage16 wrote: ↑Wed Jul 18, 2018 5:42 pmWell, the market is a mechanism, and what is happening with the opposition is surely more important?
More theoretical than automated atm but these are the avenues I look at when trying to improve