Who wants to share some edges.

to75ne · Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:53 pm

Wainwright wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:51 pm

Technically speaking that is 'The Edge', maybe the search should stop here?
Can't stop yet - the OP still hasn't found what he's looking for

thats the best reply so far

ruthlessimon · Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:56 pm

foxwood wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 8:57 am
There was a proof provided the other day that, over a 3 month window, a B2L trade on any favourite whose name began with a vowel was a positive edge.

Yeah

& even though it had a rotten August, we're still up.... just....

.. but I think this is just variance, the previous 3 months were rock solid upwards!!

Euler · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:03 pm

I missed that, what thread was that on?

ruthlessimon · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:08 pm

Euler wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:03 pm
I missed that, what thread was that on?

viewtopic.php?p=166401#p166401

jimibt · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:10 pm

to75ne wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:53 pm

Wainwright wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 2:51 pm

Technically speaking that is 'The Edge', maybe the search should stop here?
Can't stop yet - the OP still hasn't found what he's looking for
thats the best reply so far

... agreed -

Derek27 · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:11 pm

ruthlessimon · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:11 pm

Oh, look at this. Look at this. Screw "AEIOU", faves beginning with "EDGE" (letters) is way better (over a 4mth sample)

I'm actually pretty interested to know what the heck caused the divergence

Jukebox · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:30 pm

LOL I think "E" probably carried the rest.

Euler · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:44 pm

I was thinking that a full analysis would be to download the HRB list of horses and see what the distribution of names is by starting letter.

Euler · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:45 pm

ruthlessimon wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:11 pm
Oh, look at this. Look at this. Screw "AEIOU", faves beginning with "EDGE" (letters) is way better (over a 4mth sample)

I'm actually pretty interested to know what the heck caused the divergence

Is that to level stakes?

Jukebox · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:49 pm

Euler wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:44 pm
I was thinking that a full analysis would be to download the HRB list of horses and see what the distribution of names is by starting letter.

Wouldn't it be safer to limit the distribution analysis to the participating sample rather than get the name of every donkey that ever lived.

ruthlessimon · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:50 pm

Euler wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:45 pm
Is that to level stakes?

No, the staking was varied to account for the differences in price.

A 1 tick winner will always = £1, no matter the price

jimibt · Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:56 pm

simon - would be interested to know if solo artists that go by a shortname also produces great results, off the top of my head:

1. prince
2. drake
3. moby
4. adele

lol

Euler · Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:02 pm

ruthlessimon wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:50 pm

Euler wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:45 pm
Is that to level stakes?
No, the staking was varied to account for the differences in price.

A 1 tick winner will always = £1, no matter the price

The best analysis would be to look at the excess win rate, by assigning each favourite a value of (1*(DID IT WIN)-(1/ODDS))

That will give the true variation to chance

ruthlessimon · Mon Sep 17, 2018 4:31 pm

jimibt wrote: ↑
Mon Sep 17, 2018 3:56 pm
simon - would be interested to know if solo artists that go by a shortname also produces great results, off the top of my head:

1. prince
2. drake
3. moby
4. adele

lol

You know what, I'm not telling ya which one is up +0.4% over 4mths - I'm trading that shizzle

Who wants to share some edges.

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