An interesting exercise that shows that people overestimate how certain they are of things:
http://www.bettingautomation.com/articl ... nesses.pdf
Worth remembering next time you're thinking of betting on a horse that can't possibly lose!
Jeff
Are you sure? :)
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- Joined: Fri May 20, 2011 7:42 am
I am like this at every pub quiz I do,, my problem is that I also sound convincing...
- JollyGreen
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- Joined: Sat Mar 21, 2009 10:06 am
Hey Groovyelms....Thank you for making me when you mentioned the pub quiz. We used to have a guy like that and when he got it wrong he would say "Damn, that was the other answer I had"
It reminds me of a couple of TV characters.
Do you remember the Fast Show where the bloke in the pub is trying to tell another guy how to play the Fruit Machine...
Or in the Inbetweeners where Will pulls Charlotte and goes upstairs with her at the party. The school Psycho is her boyfriend and Neal is trying to remember who he is. Despite prompts from his mates he only remembers when Donovan arrives on the scene and Neal says "Oh yes that's him!"
It reminds me of a couple of TV characters.
Do you remember the Fast Show where the bloke in the pub is trying to tell another guy how to play the Fruit Machine...
Or in the Inbetweeners where Will pulls Charlotte and goes upstairs with her at the party. The school Psycho is her boyfriend and Neal is trying to remember who he is. Despite prompts from his mates he only remembers when Donovan arrives on the scene and Neal says "Oh yes that's him!"
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- Posts: 277
- Joined: Fri May 20, 2011 7:42 am
I can see that I am going to have to buy a tv... who are these hot characters?