Price now into 1.6 this morning
EU Membership Referendum (Brexit)
- BetScalper
- Posts: 1139
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- wearthefoxhat
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- TheRiddler
- Posts: 102
- Joined: Sat Apr 25, 2009 5:02 pm
Remainers,leavers,celebs, etc all sing from the same hymn sheet. It is quite frankly a joke that a dumb population (as popular social media sites prove) should have any voice at all when all they can do is lead one off a cliff edge wearing a gormless smile. Look at the bigger picture upto decade from now . If we are still with the union, we sink with them. If we are not then we burn, led by a bunch of self serving incompetents on all sides. The people are dumbing down which is good for all experienced traders because that means the markets are dumbing down too.
- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 9731
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
With millions of complacent remainers turning out next time who didn't think they had to last time, the result would be easy money if opinion was tested again. The leaver turnout must have been very close to peak numbers.
A confirmed electorate of 46,500,001 and 17,410,742 voted leave? As they say, do the math.
Courtesy of Sir John Curtis and Peter Kellner
A confirmed electorate of 46,500,001 and 17,410,742 voted leave? As they say, do the math.
Courtesy of Sir John Curtis and Peter Kellner
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It was meant to be easy money last time around, with a price of 1.04/1.05 ish to back remain on the night before and a lot of people got badly stung
If we've learnt one thing from trading political markets in the last few years it's how opinion polls always manage to get it spectacularly wrong, we only have to look at the last four major votes there has been - the referendum, the US election, and both our last two elections they got none right.
If we've learnt one thing from trading political markets in the last few years it's how opinion polls always manage to get it spectacularly wrong, we only have to look at the last four major votes there has been - the referendum, the US election, and both our last two elections they got none right.
- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 9731
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
I know what you're saying but politics is my football, this is my world cup. I've been doing just fine.
Glad to hear you are doing well on them Shuan.ShaunWhite wrote: ↑Wed Mar 27, 2019 2:18 pmI know what you're saying but politics is my football, this is my world cup. I've been doing just fine.
There have obviously been some crackers in recent years, I hope there are more to come!
- ShaunWhite
- Posts: 9731
- Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am
thx. I can't honestly say they've all been beauties but I'm doing ok. Having all the related markets certainly helps.
My bellwether on sociopolitical events is my old mum's bowls club (aka the 3rd Reich), some of them are getting mighty nervous now their hospital appointments are being postponed. A Brexit delay would probably last longer than most of them.
Glad I fully got out of my 'May leave date' trade when I did, it's just bounced well above 2.4s
Since her 'back and I'll go' statement the early market reaction is not expecting her to get her deal through!
Next few days are going to be very interesting across several markets
Since her 'back and I'll go' statement the early market reaction is not expecting her to get her deal through!
Next few days are going to be very interesting across several markets
Following tonights DUP announcement, that they won't be backing May's deal here price to be gone by June19 is now back out to where it was two weeks ago at 4.2
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