sionascaig wrote: ↑Fri Aug 03, 2018 9:53 am
Xerxster wrote: ↑Fri Aug 03, 2018 7:15 am
Anyone think that the chance of a second referendum has increased in the past month or so?
Based on chats with political insiders no.... but who can predict the future!
If brexit no deal or bad deal comes about I suspect there could be a vote of no confidence in the government. There are just so many different factions cutting across the political parties there will be a large group unhappy whatever solution is found leading to continued political uncertainty...
Pretty safe to say May will be gone by end of next year though...
Not a rant, just my take....
Zero chance of a 2nd referendum. Zero chance of a referendum of the outcome of the negotiations.
Probably best that way too. They're supposed to know best, they know the real numbers, so I've no idea why they asked us in the first place. The day my doctor asks me for advice is the day I stop trusting him on anything. Total abdication of responsibility.
There's no such thing as 'No deal'
It's oversimplified spin. 'No deal' on day 1 maybe, but on day 2
some structure and agreement has to be in place. WTO rules get mentioned but that covers a tiny tiny part of our arrangments. WTO is only mentioned because most people think the only issue is car imports and it sounds easy.
May will stay.
The 1922 committee will go through hell and high water to keep May in, the next leader needs to be seen as steering our new HMS Britania, not as the 3rd in a row responsible for the current situation.
...it's a shame Llyod's of London & Goldmans (& Barclays & Deutche?) are moving.