EU Membership Referendum (Brexit)

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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sionascaig
Posts: 1072
Joined: Fri Nov 20, 2015 9:38 am

Probably Michael Green thinks he's found a tax wheez...

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfr ... xit-coffee
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SeaHorseRacing
Posts: 2893
Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Something doesn’t add up...

Apparently 158 for May and 33 against... but it’s taken 48 to make the no confidence vote?
So what’s happened to the other 15?

I think the torries are about to stab May in the back.

Jacob Rees Mog must be prime minister next but I bet he doesn’t.
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PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

Euler wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 9:15 am
Odds on to win the vote
Might be my old age kicking in but I seem to remember another small political vote a few years back in the UK that was odds on leading up to it that didn't quite turn out the way the market and most people in the MSM expected it to.

Seemed to have something to do with people saying one thing in public but doing another in private ;)
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jimibt
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PDC wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 1:31 pm
Seemed to have something to do with people saying one thing in public but doing another in private ;)
you wouldn't have needed to read any single part of this thread, other than that comment to entirely grasp the category of individual we're dealing with here :D
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Dallas
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PDC wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 1:31 pm
Euler wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 9:15 am
Odds on to win the vote
Might be my old age kicking in but I seem to remember another small political vote a few years back in the UK that was odds on leading up to it that didn't quite turn out the way the market and most people in the MSM expected it to.

Seemed to have something to do with people saying one thing in public but doing another in private ;)
I think its been like that on just about every major political vote that's done that in recent years

Brexit
Last election / Tory majority
US Presidency
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marksmeets302
Posts: 527
Joined: Thu Dec 10, 2009 4:37 pm

Euler wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 12:14 pm
PDC wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 12:04 pm
Euler wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 11:45 am
There is still money being offered at 1.01 quite frequently for a 'will there be a no-confidence vote' so maybe some people think it won't go ahead?
More likely probably just freeing up their balance so it can be used elsewhere where it can be put to use and earn a greater return than what it costs laying off at 1.01.
Seems to exceed that required by all positions on the market, so it looks like somebody feeding it.
There's a chance May might step aside, which would mean there would be no vote.
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jimibt
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Location: Narnia

so i'm thinking, is 6.4 odds value... hmmm
Emmson
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Still no buyer's remorse here or anywhere but at least the euphoria has gone from here and everywhere.
Emmson
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Jeremy Corbyn in Downing Street might be the Death Knell for Exchanges, he might undo what Gordon Brown did in 2001 *low hanging fruit* :evil:
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Euler
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Emmson wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 3:14 pm
Jeremy Corbyn in Downing Street might be the Death Knell for Exchanges, he might undo what Gordon Brown did in 2001 *low hanging fruit* :evil:
Death Knell for more things than just the exchanges I would think!
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PDC
Posts: 2272
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

Sounding like the vote is on and she will win it and remain in power which will strengthen her Brexit deal but still seems to be no chance of that getting through parliament so will be as you were and no closer to a solution to the mess that has been created. My money is on 'the date we leave' (looking more doubtful) being pushed back.

One thing is for sure, I wouldn't want TM's job for the life of me, god knows how she is still standing on her feet, she must be utterly exhausted when you consider where in the world she has been of late and the hours she must be putting in.

I started 'In the thick of it' on Netlfix again last night, seemed appropriate at the current time :lol:
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ruthlessimon
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Dallas wrote:
Wed Dec 12, 2018 1:44 pm
Brexit
Last election / Tory majority
US Presidency
But this is a crony vote - 1.13 is pretty tempting :oops:
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Euler
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Market is saying around 110 will vote against.
Jukebox
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worth a dutch
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Euler
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Had my fingers at the ready but it went to 1.01 quite a few seconds before the vote was officially announced.
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