Trading Politics : bet Trump

Punting on politics
Magnifico
Posts: 11
Joined: Sun May 22, 2016 3:06 pm
Location: Leeds

Tue Nov 01, 2016 4:40 pm

Trump odds coming in. Wish I had gotten involved earlier. My brother had 2k matched at 5.5

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Dallas
Posts: 9272
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm
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Tue Nov 01, 2016 4:59 pm

Magnifico wrote:Trump odds coming in. Wish I had gotten involved earlier. My brother had 2k matched at 5.5
Its abt time i got on a few days ago mid 4s so glad its finally moving :P

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Black Ice
Posts: 187
Joined: Thu Nov 06, 2014 12:35 pm

Wed Nov 02, 2016 3:29 pm

Hi Workpeter,
I have confidence u know what u r talking about..so i got in last night for Trump at 4.1..hope u r right! :)

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ShaunWhite
Posts: 3704
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Wed Nov 02, 2016 4:15 pm

Thanks for the Evan McMullin tip Peter.
In at 840, out at 640....every penny counts.

Trump isn't going to win, but i'm not confident Hillary will be next POTUS.

It might not last long but you can Back Hillary @ 1.39 and Lay Next President Gender= Female @1.38 atm. Seems good from any angle.

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Crazyskier
Posts: 437
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

Wed Nov 02, 2016 5:14 pm

ShaunWhite wrote:Thanks for the Evan McMullin tip Peter.
In at 840, out at 640....every penny counts.
he's still shortening. 60s now...

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ShaunWhite
Posts: 3704
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Wed Nov 02, 2016 5:22 pm

Crazyskier wrote:
ShaunWhite wrote:Thanks for the Evan McMullin tip Peter.
In at 840, out at 640....every penny counts.
he's still shortening. 60s now...
You had me worried then....i think you mean 600s.

Magnifico
Posts: 11
Joined: Sun May 22, 2016 3:06 pm
Location: Leeds

Wed Nov 02, 2016 5:56 pm

Black Ice wrote:Hi Workpeter,
I have confidence u know what u r talking about..so i got in last night for Trump at 4.1..hope u r right! :)
I got in at 4.1 aswell. Tempted to let it run until the end.

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ShaunWhite
Posts: 3704
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Wed Nov 02, 2016 6:43 pm

Magnifico wrote:
Black Ice wrote:Hi Workpeter,
I have confidence u know what u r talking about..so i got in last night for Trump at 4.1..hope u r right! :)
I got in at 4.1 aswell. Tempted to let it run until the end.
This market is simply too risky now. When Trump was double figures it was an easy decision...and sure enough he came right in to 2.7. Kerching.

I certainly won't be backing him at 4.1 (while all the news is in his favour) when he was as low as 2.7 (when the news was against him). He's not even in front in the Popular vote let alone the College vote and that would be the first sign he stood a chance.

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workpeter
Posts: 165
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2016 8:29 pm

Wed Nov 02, 2016 11:00 pm

workpeter wrote:I wrote this thread predicting a big scandal was about to break and then the FBI news came out and the odds shot down just as i said. He will win, the polls are wrong.

She broke federal law and they didnt charge her due to lack of intent, however intent is not a requirement and so not a defence. This point was made very clear by the government oversight commitee.

The FBI director knew he screwed up and lost alot of respect.

if those new emails dont lead to charges then The FBI director will resign. Considering this was purely his choice its very unlikely he would take that risk unless he knows he has smoking gun. He needs to move fast on this but not be seen as influencing politics so i think more 'leaks' will come.
"The cascade of anonymous sources discussing the internal deliberations at the Federal Bureau of Investigation has been remarkable in the days following the decision by the agency’s director, James Comey, to reveal just 11 days before the presidential election"


So predictable... ;)

link: http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2016/10/3 ... ntensifies
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Crazyskier
Posts: 437
Joined: Sat Feb 06, 2016 6:36 pm

Thu Nov 03, 2016 7:23 pm

ShaunWhite wrote:
Crazyskier wrote:
ShaunWhite wrote:Thanks for the Evan McMullin tip Peter.
In at 840, out at 640....every penny counts.
he's still shortening. 60s now...
You had me worried then....i think you mean 600s.
I think I missed a zero,sorry!

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