Trading Politics : Scottish Independence Vote

Punting on politics
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Euler
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Thu Sep 18, 2014 10:52 pm

I see Andy Murray lost a few fans today!

Zenyatta
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Thu Sep 18, 2014 10:57 pm

Ferru123 wrote:YouGov poll after re-contacting voters in the Scottish Independence referendum

YES 46%
NO 54%
Ah, so that's probably the info that caused the sudden price shift. YES now drifting to oblivion... 15.00+. Amazing how fast Betfair markets are. I guess it shows you can't beat the market unless you can get to new info. first.

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LeTiss
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Thu Sep 18, 2014 11:02 pm

I'm surprised to see the market is still 'in play' despite the polls being closed and counting under way

Does anyone know when BF will suspend the market?

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Naffman
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 1:07 am

It suspends when the results are officially announced.
BF just trying to keep it going longer so they get more commission, you can't blame them for doing that though.

Zenyatta
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 1:38 am

All over. YES price 42+.
I'm curious to know what critical info drove the market to such a decisive answer so early on.

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Euler
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 7:16 am

Thank god all that's over pound rallying on Asian markets, guess the main indexes are going to rise today and we can all get on with life.


burdo77
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 11:52 am

I saw a twitter hotspot video today on the news showing activity around the world illustrating as red for hashtags related to no and illustrating green for yes. The video showed a lot of red, we may aswell just vote with twitter. Same result.

It would be nice if every punter hash tagged their bet and I had that video.......

Iron
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 12:08 pm

Very interesting poll: http://www.buzzfeed.com/jimwaterson/7-f ... l4#4e95na3

Curious that about 70% of 16 & 17 year olds voted 'yes', but that was reversed for OAPs.

I'll never understand why Cameron decided to let kids vote in the referendum.

Jeff

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Euler
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Fri Sep 19, 2014 12:26 pm

I wondered that also, they don't have the weight of history behind them and that's why 18 is considered the normal lowest age that they can make that sort of decision.

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