2015 UK General Election

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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PeterLe
Posts: 3715
Joined: Wed Apr 15, 2009 3:19 pm

LinusP wrote:Nate Silver is on BBC1 at the moment (Panorama) talking about the election.
I dont think the 538 crew got this one right; just goes to show how hard this prediction process can really be!
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Euler
Posts: 24701
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

Trying to model a logical conclusion to an emotive issues never works.
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Archangel
Posts: 1987
Joined: Thu Jun 27, 2013 3:03 pm
Location: Polo Lounge, Beverly Hills Hotel

It seems like they do polls for months on end and ask people how they will vote, and people dont tell the truth.
its not just a matter of undecided or margin of error, its a much wider margin
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