2015 UK General Election

Betfair trading & Punting on politics. Be aware there is a lot of off topic discussion in this group centred on Political views.
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fortfield
Posts: 42
Joined: Sat Aug 24, 2013 7:52 pm

BBCs left wing bias highlighted in all its rancidness last night and Dimbleby had the nerve to say the audience was a cross section.You hear a pin drop when Farage gave his answers yet plenty of applause for the others despite Farage being the only one talking reality.See the group hug the witches of eastwick shared at the end, proper sickening stuff that, dont envy Milliband working with them post election.
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superfrank
Posts: 2762
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm

Miliband into 4/5 from Evens a few days ago.

yikes, can we really have a dweeb like him running the country?!
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LeTiss
Posts: 5386
Joined: Fri May 08, 2009 6:04 pm

My original post was spot on, Labour were a great lay at under Evens for most seats
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Naffman
Posts: 5643
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

When push comes to shove the public tend to lean towards the current leadership. Cameron has done a very decent job IMO and I've never seen an oppo. leader hated as much as Miliband.
tweebie1999
Posts: 89
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2010 9:23 am

Election forecast 21 April:

Conservative 283 seats
Labour 270 seats
Liberal Democats 26 seats
Ukip 1 seat
SNP 47 Seats
Green 1 seat
Other 22 seats

So who will work with who?

Tories - UKIP - Lib Dem = 283 + 26 + 1 = 310 seats
Labour - SNP - Green = 270 + 47 + 1 = 318 seats

So assuming LIB Dems work with the Conservatives (which cant be guaranteed) then we need to drill down and look at the make up of the Others.

Plaid Cymru 4 seats
DUP 8 seats
SDLP 3 seats
Sinn Fein 5 seats
Respect 1 seat
Alliance 1 seat

Of these Sinn Fein dont turn up so they can be discounted. That leaves:

Conservative leaning parties : DUP
Labour leaning parties: Plaid Cymru - SDLP - Respect - Alliance

No we have the following totals:

Conservative and friends : 318 seats
Labour and Friends : 327 seats

So as I see it, if Labour are prepared to enter into some agreement with SNP then they will have a narrow majority. If however Lib Dems side with Labour instead of Conservative then Labour will have a substantial majority. Labour and Lib Dem could enter into a formal coalition and have informal support from SNP.

My own opinion: immigration isn't the issue, it is good for the country. Neither is the EU. The issue has to be the economy and as far as I am concerned Labour has always left the economy in a mess.

I am off to live abroad luckily so I will escape. I will however watch from afar as our new PM appears in every European newspaper depicted as a knife wielding brother killer or a goofy bunny rabbit.

Who said:

' THE LAST ONE TO LEAVE PLEASE TURN OFF THE LIGHTS'?
LinusP
Posts: 1873
Joined: Mon Jul 02, 2012 10:45 pm

Nate Silver is on BBC1 at the moment (Panorama) talking about the election.
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gazuty
Posts: 2547
Joined: Sun Jun 26, 2011 11:03 am
Location: Green land :)

LinusP wrote:Nate Silver is on BBC1 at the moment (Panorama) talking about the election.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/six ... -election/
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Archangel
Posts: 1989
Joined: Thu Jun 27, 2013 3:03 pm
Location: Polo Lounge, Beverly Hills Hotel

"Shy Tories"
lol
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superfrank
Posts: 2762
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm

The IFS is scathing of the sums of the mainstream parties
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-32498082

Just wishful thinking and deceit as usual - I'll eat my hat if the UK is running anything even close to a budget surplus by the end of the next parliament. Not a chance.
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Euler
Posts: 24815
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

I loved the way (r)ed is telling us how he would cap private sectors rents, populist measure etc. etc. when the impact of such would be significant.

If you look at the large number of high end apartments going up in London they are mainly being bought by overseas investors pumping money into the UK. Shoot the yield and that money will go to another city.
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superfrank
Posts: 2762
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm

Euler, I agree that the UK needs the money coming in but that (often hot) money has created a ridiculous bubble in London property that cannot be sustained over the long term. They'll be no one left able to pay the stupid rents (I left London because of that) and the thing will likely implode as investors get out when prices stop rising.
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Euler
Posts: 24815
Joined: Wed Nov 10, 2010 1:39 pm
Location: Bet Angel HQ

Ultimately that's a problem for the Asian speculators though?

I think the answer is more housing rather than rent controls. I sympathise with people unable to rent at a reasonable price. Pretty sure the market will self correct. There seems to be a billion apartments being built at the moment.
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superfrank
Posts: 2762
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm

don't think it is just a problem for speculators - the UK housing market has been blow up to the point where it has become "too big to fail", hence constant new policies to attract new entrants in the market with ever greater debt (loads now underwritten by govt) to keep it going.

if it tanks it takes the banks and UK economy with it; note the initial responses to the financial crisis (a myriad of govt schemes to support prices).

fewer people, more houses and less debt is surely the solution (but it won't happen!).

you wouldn't need rent controls or any other stupid schemes if they just left the market alone, but they are so wedded to rising prices they can't help meddling.
Groovyelms
Posts: 277
Joined: Fri May 20, 2011 7:42 am

Again Milliband and the team come up with another ridiculas proposal to controll market forces. The property market is the the property market. Prices whave gone crazy reason because people want to live here: is this a wellcome or unwellcome variety of imigration?
I know that this trivial but a comment from someone writting on socialist media said "Milliband has a very odd way of speaking" I never could take him seriously at the start of this campaign, but as it goes on he looks more and more like an amusing cartoon, constantly going on about the ordinary working people of this country! exactly who are these people?
Obviuosly not an entrepeneur earning over £150,000.00 per year and exporting accross the globe and employing a large local workforce.....
God I dread the prospect of him in some sort of power with Alex Salmond and all the other baying extremists, realizing that finally their day in the sun arrived....

Concerned voter of Brighton Pavillion Ward (currently green)
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superfrank
Posts: 2762
Joined: Fri Aug 14, 2009 8:28 pm

Groovyelms wrote:God I dread the prospect of him in some sort of power with Alex Salmond and all the other baying extremists, realizing that finally their day in the sun arrived....

Concerned voter of Brighton Pavillion Ward (currently green)
Ha ha, Brighton, ruled by the fascist left wanting to ban racing!

If Miliband gets in the Tories will have only themselves to blame imho - Miliband is the modern equivalent of Michael Foot and if they can't beat him then they've had it.

The Conservatives should have positioned themselves as true champions of ordinary working people (Labour + the Lib Dems certainly don't represent them anymore), but they just can't help giving tax cuts to millionaires and obsessing over inheritance tax for million £ houses - political suicide. Also still fudging Europe and done sod all about immigration (cos big business likes cheap labour). Bl00dy idiots.
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