Trading Horse racing : Cheltenham Festival 2018

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SeaHorseRacing
Posts: 2738
Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Mon Mar 05, 2018 8:29 am

Considering it is just over a week away, I thought I would get this rolling as it is Xmas eve seven days today. Any trading points or updates?

Anyone have an opinion on what the ground will be?

ricardodeano
Posts: 149
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2015 2:03 pm

Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:55 am

I can't offer any opinions, I can offer data though. He's the BF data for 2009 - 2018. Use it as you please.
Cheltenham.xlsx
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Dallas
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Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:01 am

ricardodeano wrote:
Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:55 am
I can't offer any opinions, I can offer data though. He's the BF data for 2009 - 2018. Use it as you please.

Cheltenham.xlsx
I'll be very very intrested if you have the 2018 data ;)

ricardodeano
Posts: 149
Joined: Tue Oct 06, 2015 2:03 pm

Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:06 am

Dallas wrote:
Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:01 am
ricardodeano wrote:
Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:55 am
I can't offer any opinions, I can offer data though. He's the BF data for 2009 - 2018. Use it as you please.

Cheltenham.xlsx
I'll be very very intrested if you have the 2018 data ;)
Ha ha ha ha...ok, so maybe don't trust anything I type :lol:

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Naffman
Posts: 2573
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:37 am

Reckon we will see a lot more volatility this year

And please don't use Betdaq everyone, it's no good ;) :lol:

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SeaHorseRacing
Posts: 2738
Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:13 pm

There is some free money up for grabs guys.

If you take NON RUNNER NO BET on these horses for these races with the bookmakers you are guaranteed a profit. Take the free money!!!

FAUGHEEN for the Stayers Hurdle is 10s with sky bet, Betfred and 12s with Sun bet. If the horse doesnt run you get your money back. If he turns up he will not be 10s. He will be 11/2 at best!! Incredible risk-free trade.

I personally think he will run in this race but there is a high chance he won't, but there's free money there if he does. Make sure you get NRNB and you need 10s or better.

SAMCRO for the Supreme Novices. Bet 365 are offering 2/1 NRNB. If he runs in this race he will be Even money at best. Again unlikely to run in this race but its free money if he does.

FIRST FLOW for the Supreme Novices, this horse will only run if the ground is heavy. NRNB at 25s with a few firms, again if this runs, your looking at less then 10/1.

If anyone takes these offers, just makes sure you dont trade it off until after 48 hours before the racings as Betfair markets are still Antepost!

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SeaHorseRacing
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Wed Mar 07, 2018 3:03 pm

Snow forecast for Tuesday. :lol: :lol:

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ShaunWhite
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Wed Mar 07, 2018 3:20 pm

SeaHorseRacing wrote:
Wed Mar 07, 2018 3:03 pm
Snow forecast for Tuesday. :lol: :lol:
?not on my forecast, 10 degrees and buckets of rain.

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SeaHorseRacing
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Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm

Wed Mar 07, 2018 3:41 pm

Cold air is back on Tuesday, don't use Long range weather forecast that is animated. BBC weather long-range weather forecast video.

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Dallas
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Thu Mar 08, 2018 10:51 am

Forecast i've just been looking at has persistent sometimes heavy rain throughout Sunday which starts to ease on/off during monday finally stopping for good around 6pm Monday evening.
The question looks to be is it going to be enough to waterlog the course? or at least produce a bit of a mud bath on the opening day

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