Maybe someone could help.
As some of you are aware. I chose one race meeting everyday and than pick 7 selections from that meeting.
When I chose the meeting their is no skill involved, usually the best quality meeting on the flat. If it’s the winter I will chose an AW meeting.
I chose 7 horses each time regardless of my confidence, if you haven’t read before I have spent the last 9 years trying to hit a 7 fold accumulator. Hit the bar a few times.
So I finished trading early today to work on some stats.
In 12 months since 1st April 2017 until today.
I have placed a total of 502 bets. Which is 3,515 selections.
Calculating my results at industry sp, if I placed £1 on each selection I would have made a loss of £40.93.
I am aware this is pretty good.
What I would like to know is their anyway to work out what I should have lost?
Should I have kept records for each over round of each market to work this out?
Each different market has a different overround. The lowest are usually around 110%. Should I mark that I should have lost around 10p to every selection?
If so that would -350. Which at sp seems like I didn’t really lose if I staked each singly for £1.
Cheers
What is the expectancy?
- SeaHorseRacing
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- Joined: Fri May 20, 2016 7:06 pm
Whether it will help I had a 28.08% strike rate...