When Betfair apply the reduction factor it applies to the pre off bets, because your £30 was still up and placed pre off the RF would be applied to it. If that bet had been matched in running no RF would have been applied to it, it was only shown as the bet was still on the exchange and unmatched.
If they'd removed the runner before the off and after your bets placed then the RF would apply to them before the race went in running
Dobbing - Today's DOB's
Thursdays Cards & Dobbers can be downloaded from here https://www.dropbox.com/sh/8gudhaxurxd6 ... 4FqOa?dl=0
Saturdays Racecards & Dobbers available here https://www.dropbox.com/sh/2ui3m8brbwqg ... HQ6Ca?dl=0
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Many thanks for these, much appreciated.Eyesnack wrote: ↑Sat Jun 23, 2018 1:01 pmSaturdays Racecards & Dobbers available here https://www.dropbox.com/sh/2ui3m8brbwqg ... HQ6Ca?dl=0
Friday 29-6-2018 Cards & Dobbers available to download from here https://www.dropbox.com/sh/5zh5snahu5fi ... 3R1la?dl=0
Saturdays Cards & Dobbers can be downloaded from here https://www.dropbox.com/sh/e2x8kqmb2pel ... QcDda?dl=0
Can be downloaded from here https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fdxw3qc9oqjn ... Yi2fa?dl=0
Saturdays Racecards-14-7-2018- available here https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fx47xar1yfok ... trp_a?dl=0
Saturday 21-7-2018 flat cards available https://www.dropbox.com/sh/vx7atxlzgb9k ... Q0lHa?dl=0
- wearthefoxhat
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I could be way off, but thought I'd post it up anyway.
Looking for a runner with a predicted chance of running a god race, good draw, pace setter. The ATR predicts a 3rd place, the draw is green, the Pace map is 10... and a M.Johnston runner too! Also on strong HCAP mark (Gold Icon)
Price is around 14/1 at the time of writing. (17.00 for small beer).
Southwell 2.50 1 Mile. Sunbreak
Looking for a runner with a predicted chance of running a god race, good draw, pace setter. The ATR predicts a 3rd place, the draw is green, the Pace map is 10... and a M.Johnston runner too! Also on strong HCAP mark (Gold Icon)
Price is around 14/1 at the time of writing. (17.00 for small beer).
Southwell 2.50 1 Mile. Sunbreak
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- wearthefoxhat
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No joy on Sunbreak today, will forgive as it was it's first run for over a year.
The winner and second got on the front end and stayed there as tends to mostly happen @ Southwell.
The winner and second got on the front end and stayed there as tends to mostly happen @ Southwell.
I've found this month my selections have been performing below expectations. Can't really understand it as there's no real excuses: The weather's been ok no abandonments so it's not as if trainer's have been unable to exercise their horses. Also the season's well underway?wearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Tue Dec 11, 2018 4:22 pmNo joy on Sunbreak today, will forgive as it was it's first run for over a year.
The winner and second got on the front end and stayed there as tends to mostly happen @ Southwell.
One thing I've noticed is that just purely by bad luck this month there's been several instances when I've expected a horse to front run as it's the most likely front runner and it's been held up and something that doesn't normally front run has done so to good effect.
- wearthefoxhat
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It could be that "connections" have more accurate information available to them pre-race (as we all do), to develop a game plan. This in many cases requires a more prominent front running role that in itself can result in a clear winner. All Weather Racing and the draw/pace elements certainly do this, so you may suddenly see a charge by a jockey to get that position. The closers/held up types can also benefit in some cases, but in the main can be readily ignored for this exercise.ANGELS15 wrote: ↑Wed Dec 12, 2018 8:58 amI've found this month my selections have been performing below expectations. Can't really understand it as there's no real excuses: The weather's been ok no abandonments so it's not as if trainer's have been unable to exercise their horses. Also the season's well underway?wearthefoxhat wrote: ↑Tue Dec 11, 2018 4:22 pmNo joy on Sunbreak today, will forgive as it was it's first run for over a year.
The winner and second got on the front end and stayed there as tends to mostly happen @ Southwell.
Also, if a trainer thinks their horse has a poor handicap mark, it's very easy to get it beat by positioning it badly in a race and allow something else to charge off in front...allegedly...