Today's Horse Racing

[Derek27]

If Newbury continues to trade like this we could be in for a very good day

After Australia last night it feels like it's back to hard work!

[Derek27]

A lot of sharp movements today.

[SeaHorseRacing]

TIP TOMORROW

3-15 Newbury. OFF THE HOOK. Generally 12/1
Word is it will definelty finish in the first 3!

Ran a cracker.. think it hit as low about 3.00s and went off about 25s

[Euler]

I'm sort of plodding along today. Picking off a few targets but generally just going through the motions.

[wearthefoxhat]

How long has Bangor been on 415? Was always a Racing UK course.

Maybe it's the first of many Skyracing will tempt away from RacingTV...

[Derek27]

TIP TOMORROW

3-15 Newbury. OFF THE HOOK. Generally 12/1
Word is it will definelty finish in the first 3!

Ran a cracker.. think it hit as low about 3.00s and went off about 25s

Beaten 12.5 lengths wasn't it?

You sound upbeat for a horse that was guaranteed to finish in the first three!

[Euler]

Never done well at Bangor. Always ranks as the the lowest yielding course of the day for me when it's on.

[Derek27]

Never done well at Bangor. Always ranks as the the lowest yielding course of the day for me when it's on.

I'm one from one at Bangor so far this year.

[Dallas]

Never done well at Bangor. Always ranks as the the lowest yielding course of the day for me when it's on.

Bangor and Lingers are both in my bottom 5 so never have high hopes when both appear on the same day!

That said Newbury helped make up for it and my directional scalping bot has been doing its job today so can't complain

[Derek27]

Just got hammered at Thurles. One of those markets that test your paranoia to the limit ‒ whatever you do, the market goes against you!

[invisiblelayer]

17.00 Newbury, Get In The Queue will be Noel Fehily's last ride.

Price seems incredibly short as it is, but given that he comes over as being one of the genuine nice guys in the weighing room, i get the impression the market thinks the other jockeys won't be trying that hard. Will be interesting to watch this one not just pre but in-running.

On ratings, giving a stone to the Alan King runner may be too much, but as you say, they may "allow" him to win.


Ratings.PNG

Non had handicap marks besides that chart is points?

[wearthefoxhat]

17.00 Newbury, Get In The Queue will be Noel Fehily's last ride.

Price seems incredibly short as it is, but given that he comes over as being one of the genuine nice guys in the weighing room, i get the impression the market thinks the other jockeys won't be trying that hard. Will be interesting to watch this one not just pre but in-running.

On ratings, giving a stone to the Alan King runner may be too much, but as you say, they may "allow" him to win.


Ratings.PNG

Non had handicap marks besides that chart is points?

The points are a final calculation that the software churns out for each race. Results seem to be better on the higher prize money races. I tend to average the total and focus on those.

Kelso3.35.PNG

[ruthlessimon]

Never done well at Bangor. Always ranks as the the lowest yielding course of the day for me when it's on.

Isn't the fact there's 60+ potential variables a problem?

There's a strategy I'm working on atm: Huntington, Chepstow, Fakenham, Doncaster - have passed the out of sample - meaning, in theory, they should be removed

Scarily though, across all courses; there's a 0.5 correlation between 2018 & 2019 performance Maybe it is a valid variable, but I'm still uncomfortable removing those 4 courses

[foxwood]

uncomfortable removing those 4 courses

illogical- FOMO

[ruthlessimon]

illogical- FOMO

Possibly, but those 4 courses make up 2% of the sample size