WTF happened here???
12 ticks in one go!
Today's Horse Racing
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Cape Islay in the 8:05 Nottingham hit me, went from 5.5 to 7 in the blink of an eye just before the off, didn't see it playing up entering the stall so god knows why the layers came out in force.
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The 'sensible' option would be to take the loss but as we all know, sometimes the move corrects itself and goes back to where it was previously.
Be interesting to see if there is any data out there that shows % of runners going back to the previous price after a spike.
Iambic
Be interesting to see if there is any data out there that shows % of runners going back to the previous price after a spike.
Iambic
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- northbound
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I don’t have the % and am not trading horses every day. However, from my experience so far...iambic_pentameter wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 9:00 amBe interesting to see if there is any data out there that shows % of runners going back to the previous price after a spike.
During last winter it happened many times to see mountaintops: horses that would go up in price massively and in a few seconds, only to correct back down heavily soon afterwards.
During this summer I’ve only experienced horses that spike up and stay there or thereabouts.
Perhaps the more seasoned traders could tell us whether this is a recurring winter/summer theme.
Oh boy I really hope that pun was unintendednorthbound wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 1:15 pmPerhaps the more seasoned traders could tell us whether this is a recurring winter/summer theme.
- northbound
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eightbo wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 2:30 pmOh boy I really hope that pun was unintendednorthbound wrote: ↑Wed Aug 15, 2018 1:15 pmPerhaps the more seasoned traders could tell us whether this is a recurring winter/summer theme.
- northbound
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Winter: more likely for a price to shoot up 10-20 ticks very quickly, then revert back down just as fast.
Summer: more likely for a price to shoot up 10-20 ticks very quickly, then stay there or thereabouts.
Is this a recurring theme?
In the summer pre-race there are more things that can go wrong so you often get sudden movements, less so in the winter. Not sure if the retracement changes. I've not noticed that much, but can have a look.
My view on spikes is that sometimes they are unwarranted and I will sit on my hands. But if there are a couple of heavy orders in the market I may dump my position.
My view on spikes is that sometimes they are unwarranted and I will sit on my hands. But if there are a couple of heavy orders in the market I may dump my position.