ajdal wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2018 11:15 pm
SeaHorseRacing wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2018 1:50 pm
3.40 LING- RAINBOW REBEL
The form in this race is an illusion and the mugs are lumping on King Kevin. Anyone into laying? Lay this horse!
Even though you were proved right... not sure your enthusiasm for laying King Kevin was warranted tho, he was ridden as if connections expected him to go very close... it's is easy to get very skint very quick laying that type of bet.
He wasn't a 7/4 shot when I posted it up and the market showed that by drifting massively before the off. To be honest, didnt expect him to finish second. I thought about 4th. He had a chance on the weight he was carrying, pleased he finished second though because his handicap mark will go up even further so he struggle to get into weaker races now and will be carrying more weight in this class.
I have to disagree, back a horse at 7/4 that has gone from a rating of 50 to trying to win a race rated 85 when half the field are still improving is a very bad bet.
Even if he did win, long term that is a profitable bet imo. I would have liked to dutch with Regicide the winner but he was priced efficiently.
I had 3rd at 8/1 off at 5/1 and a 4th. 25% of horses will fail to perform in any race class 3 or worse. I made the right bet there imo.
What I did get wrong. I said it was going to be a slowly run race... in which it was strongly run so I actually dont think King Kevin is as good he looked. If it was slowly run hed certainly finish out of the frame. 1st and 2nd were held up. Rainbow Rebel only horses to finish in frame unsuited by the pace.