Australian racing

The sport of kings.
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PDC
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Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2016 5:52 pm

Turn of Moss Trip to be manipulated now at Doomben. Only horse in the market with thousands on the back side at the first 5 prices, over £20,000 worth of back money wanting on supposedly, yet the price has been flat as a pancake. No other runner has such amounts stacked up
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mcgoo
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Wow- interesting. I saw 20 and 30k bombing on and off the 3rd fav at (I think) Doomben (definitely not Flemington) earlier. Obviously someone without a mortgage to worry about (or a lotto winner :D ) Even I could see that, but given the amounts matched at Flemington ..brave or very wealthy soul.Euler must have been in bed or they may have felt the burn :lol:
I have been away for a week or 2 so just using me old $20 stakes. Today , I caught myself early (a $2.36 loss but progress !!) chasing a loss and Doomben cost me because I genuinely believed I knew how the race would trade( sudden unaware onset of ego is staggering in it's stealth :evil: ) Down 28c for the day and you'll see from the screen shot how my behaviour represents a typical amateur but feel like something clicked..maybe its the beer :mrgreen:
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Euler
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Location: Bet Angel HQ

I got up early to trade a few races, but it sounds like it was a fun session overall.
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Naffman
Posts: 5626
Joined: Sun Aug 11, 2013 5:46 am

One of the funnest sessions I've ever traded

Hoping it carries through to Toowoomba and the harness meetings tonight
eightbo
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mcgoo wrote:
Sat Jun 09, 2018 7:28 am
Wow- interesting. I saw 20 and 30k bombing on and off the 3rd fav at (I think) Doomben (definitely not Flemington) earlier. Obviously someone without a mortgage to worry about (or a lotto winner :D ) Even I could see that, but given the amounts matched at Flemington ..brave or very wealthy soul.Euler must have been in bed or they may have felt the burn :lol:
Yeah. Sure was fun.

The 3rd fav almost had more £ traded than the 1st fav (of much shorter odds). Thought that was cool considering it wasn't a drifter.
Here's the chart for that 3rd fav at Doomben:
Perast-Doomben-0515.JPG
I absolutely killed the session overall, but only ended up with +18 instead of +250 due to having some bets voided by BF :|
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Naffman
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Bad luck with the void bets!

Which race were they late turning in play?
eightbo
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Location: Malta / Australia

PDC wrote:
Sat Jun 09, 2018 7:04 am
Black and Tan is being heavily manipulated in the next at Flem. Look at the thousands stacked up. £26,000 at 8.4 thousands at the prices either side constantly switching. Try to match any and it runs scared. But then 'thousands get matched of it with no issue and no reaction. Was another £18,000 stake helping to push it down as well at one point. On a 7.0 horse? Come on pull the other one....When I win the lotto they will soon stop it :lol:
Hahahaha could you imagine someone taking out your back bets @ 7/1 and staring at a £0.3m liability?
That would be some 'rabbit in the headlights' freeze up...

Even if they hedged their loss, they'd probs have to push the market MILES and end up with a ridiculous red

The brilliance of it is, if they did try and hedge, then their loss can become your profit :lol:

And if they didn't, oh well... odds heavily in your favour

Assuming one of us were rich enough to justify the Risk/Reward, you'd still have to consider the fact that you may well be destroying someone's soul

Naffman wrote:
Sat Jun 09, 2018 10:45 am
Which race were they late turning in play?
06:39 Belmont
IncidentReport.JPG
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Derek27
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Sunny at Randwick - I gather it's a bank holiday down there.
The dog of ry
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Queen's Birthday... her third for the year so far I think
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Derek27
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Backing the favourite at Sale and laying it before the off would have been a successful system lately.
Glorious Sinndar, 03-05 Sale.jpg
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Derek27
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Withdrawn at the last minute. :(
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Naffman
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Liquidity feels poor today

edit: Liquidity IS poor today
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Derek27
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Liquidity is dreadful but I'm used to that midweek.

Just managed to get £0.05 matched on One Hot Dane.
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Naffman
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Gaps in the market are huge and its a Thursday!
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Derek27
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65 pence profit on the last at Sale. It's a struggle to get anything matched at a decent price.
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