Today's Football

[Kafkaesque]

I know a few on here are fans of these sort of spots, so I thought I'd share one from a league, where some might not have spotted it.

Kashima Vs Tosu in the Japanese league in the early hours tomorrow is currently trading at 2.28ish for the draw.

A few bullet points:
- Last day of the season
- Kashima needs just the one point to stay in third which is the final spot for the Asian CL (barring an insane result in the match between current 2nd and 4th placed teams).
- Tosu one spot above relegation will survive with just the one point, UNLESS Nagoya just below them wins by two or more AND Shonan just above them gets at least a draw.
- Unlike Italy and the like where we've seen these sort of prices for the draw in the past, there's not a lot of history for playing passive and it's pretty gung ho usually. Which makes it a bigger risk, but also more tradeable as the price is jumping about quite a bit, with the market (it seems to me) unsure how much they'll actually just play out a bore draw.

[jimibt]

Kashima Vs Tosu in the Japanese league in the early hours tomorrow is currently trading at 2.28ish for the draw.

.... Which makes it a bigger risk, but also more tradeable as the price is jumping about quite a bit, with the market (it seems to me) unsure how much they'll actually just play out a bore draw.

and so it came to pass... 0-0. reckon the market KNEW about this possible/potential result. would be interesting to see how the draw odds fluctuated during the game as there must have been action of some sort going on!

[ShaunWhite]

Dear Santa, can we please have a striker.

[Euler]

A 1-0 thrashing

[ShaunWhite]

A 1-0 thrashing

We usually give teams a 1-2 thrashing at home.

All the best vs ManU, a point would give you lot 3 points worth of confidence.
But ManU @ Evens looks very tempting against a side who don't seem to make much effort.

[LeTiss]

Ballon d'Or this evening - there have been a few opportunities to use 'Bookmaking' tab this morning, as the reverse side was showing 101% for a while. Let's hope for an outsider winner

Capture.JPG

[LeTiss]

Since posting that Ronaldo has been backed all the way to 9.20

[LeTiss]

**Massive Arbing opportunity**

Luka Modric available to back at 1.83 on Betfair Sportsbook
Available to lay at 1.48 on the Exchange

[jimbo50]

ronaldo 33-1 lay 12 on here , that 1.83 on the exchnage looks a mistake 1/10 with other bookies , 9Did you get some 1.83)

[LeTiss]

Yes mate - they gave me £200 at 1.83 - got matched at 1.49 on the exchange

They are trimmed hom back to 1.36 - let's hope the bastards let me have it!!!

[jimbo50]

A bet is a bet . you are only buying what they are selling!!1

[LeTiss]

You know what these bookies are like - they despise Arbers!!

[Naffman]

Thanks for the heads up LeTiss but that's what I was concerned about so didn't place it

Lets hope they let you keep the 5/6

[jimbo50]

so they were 4/5 about a 2/5 chance , and only smallish liability for them, not as though you have vaked a 6/4 at 16-1 is it

[ShaunWhite]

Could be old news by now but I see Hughes has gone.