Football trading (Soccer) : Today's Football

Football, Soccer - whatever you call it. It is the beautiful game.
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northbound
Posts: 188
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 11:22 pm

Fri Dec 22, 2017 8:30 pm

northbound wrote:
Fri Dec 22, 2017 3:50 pm
Norwich v Brentford (Friday night)

Trading Idea 1: lay Norwich at the start, close the trade after 30min.
It worked but the profit was super tiny, because the score was 0-0 after 30min. By that time, the Shots On Goal stats read: Norwich v Brentford 0-6.

Sadly, between 31-41min Brentford took a 2-0 lead. If they had capitalised on their dominance during the first half hour, the trade would have been MUCH MORE profitable.

convoysur-2
Posts: 1028
Joined: Thu Jan 12, 2012 10:00 am

Sat Dec 23, 2017 11:06 am

northbound wrote:
Fri Dec 22, 2017 3:50 pm
Norwich v Brentford (Friday night)

- Norwich scored a total of 2 goals in the first 30min in 11 home games.
- Brentford conceded a total of 1 goal in the first 30min in 11 away games.
- Both teams score and concede A LOT more in the second half.

Trading Idea 1: lay Norwich at the start, close the trade after 30min.

Trading Idea 2: if the half time score is 0-0, we could lay Under 2.5 Goals at around 1.35. Small risk, potential big reward. Perhaps close part of the trade if there's a goal by 60min.
THANKS FOR THE HEADS UP I GOT A FIEW QUID FROM THAT,,

Trading96
Posts: 172
Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2017 4:47 pm

Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:01 pm

Feeling a lay of Liverpool today, obviously they should win but I really think Paul Clement was the root cause of Swansea's problems.

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Dallas
Posts: 6590
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:04 pm

Struggle to ever back Liverpool tbh

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northbound
Posts: 188
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 11:22 pm

Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:15 pm

Trading96 wrote:
Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:01 pm
Feeling a lay of Liverpool today, obviously they should win but I really think Paul Clement was the root cause of Swansea's problems.
It might be worth a small interest.

Liverpool’s home results against near bottom teams:
Liverpool v West Brom 0-0
Liverpool v Palace (De Boer) 1-0

Swansea’s away results against near top teams:
Chelsea v Swansea 1-0
Tottenham v Swansea 0-0
Arsenal v Swansea 2-1

Perhaps it could be worth getting involved in the Asian Handicap market by backing Swansea (+1.5) at around 3.00, with a view to trading out inplay around 2.00.

Swansea (+1.5) means that, if you’d let your bet run until the end, you’d win if Swansea won, drew or even lost by 1 goal margin.

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Dallas
Posts: 6590
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2015 10:57 pm

Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:22 pm

northbound wrote:
Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:15 pm
Trading96 wrote:
Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:01 pm
Feeling a lay of Liverpool today, obviously they should win but I really think Paul Clement was the root cause of Swansea's problems.
It might be worth a small interest.

Liverpool’s home results against near bottom teams:
Liverpool v West Brom 0-0
Liverpool v Palace (De Boer) 1-0

I cant speak for Swansea but its a reoccuring theme for Liverpool
viewtopic.php?f=6&t=13463&p=115137

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northbound
Posts: 188
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 11:22 pm

Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:37 pm

Dallas wrote:
Tue Dec 26, 2017 5:22 pm
I cant speak for Swansea but its a reoccuring theme for Liverpool
viewtopic.php?f=6&t=13463&p=115137
Very interesting

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northbound
Posts: 188
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 11:22 pm

Tue Dec 26, 2017 7:16 pm

Fair play to Liverpool tonight, I didn’t expect a win THAT big.

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northbound
Posts: 188
Joined: Mon Mar 20, 2017 11:22 pm

Fri Dec 29, 2017 8:36 pm

Saturday 30 December 2017, 2PM UK
Torino v Genoa
Serie A

As mentioned a while ago, Genoa defend really solidly away from home.

In their 9 away games so far, which include trips to Inter / Milan / Fiorentina, Genoa conceded a total of 1 First Half goal.

Torino will be without the main striker, Andrea Belotti. Torino also scored a total of 2 goals in the first 30min of their home games so far.

This could turn out to be a very good Under 2.5 Goals trade: backing it at the start, trading out around 30-45min.

I say anything above 1.70 for Under 2.5 Goals is great value, currently you can back it at 1.87.

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ShaunWhite
Posts: 1964
Joined: Sat Sep 03, 2016 3:42 am

Sat Dec 30, 2017 3:11 am

northbound wrote:
Fri Dec 29, 2017 8:36 pm
In their 9 away games so far, which include trips to Inter / Milan / Fiorentina, Genoa conceded a total of 1 First Half goal.
Stats like that instinctively make me want to go high. It's clearly an anomaly which at some point will revert to something approaching normal. Streaks end, bubbles burst.

I'm not knocking your analysis, I know f-all about it. But have you backed that logic up by looking the first half xG of their opponents to see just how jammy Genoa have been in conceeding so few, or how unlucky their opponents have been to not score?

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