The Effect of the early away goal in Sweden Allsvenskan

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jonnyg
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In Sweden Allsvenskan in 2015 season where the away teams opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band , 86% ended over 2.5 goals and 64% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 82% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 71%

The home teams won 25% , 25% ended a DRAW and the away teams won 50%< some expectation of the home teams fighting back which will result in high expectation of both teams scoring.

43% produced a goal 80 + minutes

Last season is Allsvenskan in games where the away team opened the scoring in the 0-20 minutes time band, 77% ended over 2.5 goals and 58% ended over 3.5 goals

Both teams scored in 81% and over 1.5 goals was landed in the first half in 69%

11-12-25 < the away teams won 52% < some expectation of the home teams fighting back which will result in high expectation of both teams scoring

42% produced a goal 80 + minutes

GAME PATHWAY

2/48 0-1 FT

> 1-1 <> 29/48 <> 10-10-9 < the away teams won 31%

> 0-2 <> 17/48 <> 1-2-14 < away teams won 82%

In games in Allsvenskan where the away team open the scoring in the 0-20 minute time band > 1-1 pathway will be far more likely then > 0-2 pathway .

T T+1 HT FT Goal 80 +
Ost Gefle 7 A10 1 2 2 4 90
Norrk Gote 9 H23 1 1 3 1
AIK Kalmar 10 H41 1 1 3 1
Jonk Orebro 8 H81 0 1 1 1 81
Sund Gote 7 A13 1 2 1 3
Falk Malmo 1 A19 0 2 0 3
Ham Elfsborg 5 A17 0 3 2 4 90
Hacken Kalmar 20 H37 2 1 2 3
Ham Djurg 3 A32 2 2 4 2
Gote Gefle 6 H43 1 1 3 3 8190
Orebro Kalmar 19 H47 0 1 2 1
Ost Falk 8 H32 3 1 6 1
Hacken Malmo 13 H15 2 2 2 4 83
Hamm Hacken 20 H64 0 1 2 3 8086
Djurg AIK 15 A65 0 1 0 3
Hacken Gote 15 A60 0 1 2 2
Hels Norrk 14 A49 0 1 1 2
Orebro Sund 7 H26 2 1 3 3 89
Sund AIK 17 A19 0 3 1 3
Hels Gefle 7 H32 1 1 2 3 8688
Kalmar Djurg 4 H69 0 1 2 1
Hacken Helsin 1 H16 1 1 1 1
Sund Norrk 13 H24 1 1 1 2
Gefle Hamm 12 A33 0 2 0 2
Hamm AIK 11 A17 0 3 0 3
AIK Malmo 15 H44 1 1 1 1
Hamm Falk 16 A28 2 3 3 3
Norrk Ost 6 H12 2 1 3 3 84
Ost Malmo 3 A6 0 2 1 4 90
Jonk Sund 6 H66 0 1 1 1
Falk AIK 17 H39 1 2 2 3 81
Gefle Orebro 6 A47 0 1 0 4 83
Djurg Kalmar 15 A51 0 1 0 3 90
Hels Ost 20 H81 0 1 1 1 81
Falk Hacken 12 A25 1 2 1 4 88
Orebro Hamm 11 H18 2 2 3 2
Jonk Norrk 15 A63 0 1 0 2
Gefle Gote 10 H25 2 1 2 6 88
Hacken Gefle 4 H32 2 1 6 1 8587
Hacken Sund 18 0 1 0 1
Djurg Hamm 12 H25 1 2 1 3
Gote Kalmar 7 H53 0 1 1 1
Malmo Sund 11 H40 1 1 1 2 86
Hamm Helsin 4 H6 2 1 5 1 8183
Jonk Malmo 4 H26 1 1 3 2
Gefle Helsin 9 H79 0 1 1 1
Kalmar Jonk 15 0 1 0 1
Malmo Norrk 16 H44 1 1 3 1 90
Last edited by jonnyg on Tue Apr 04, 2017 6:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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jonnyg
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key point > Average Joe will go to a site such as Soccerstats to look at BTTS YES data < both teams scoring < and back BTTS YES before games start without understanding that it is the time of the opening goal that will effect expectation of the other team fighting back in an individual league :idea:
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jonnyg
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Hammarby 1-1 FT < that goal 80 + (90 )

The Effect of the Early Away Goal and 0-1 Half Time Game State Sweden Allsvenskan

Posted on: April 27th, 2016 by Jonny Grossmark
In the table below I have added the last 40 games in Sweden Alsvenskan where the away team opened the scoring 0-20 and 0-1 half time game state , and 45% ended over 2.5 goals ( 6/5 )

The home teams won 5%, 30% ended a draw and the away teams won 65% .

The away teams won the 2nd half of the games in the table below in 30%
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